Funny I disagree The Arc will be very sucessful, I don't know what you have read or seen , but I have read tons of development support for the Arc, Sony has been able to actually keep this a secret which is new for them, PS3 may not be totally kid / family friendly, but I don't think the 360 is eathier, The Ps3 has LBP, which is a great family game, and there are others also I don't know about all of them because I don't buy many of those games, Lots of adults use Wii, and Lots of adults use PS3 , Now what we will have is the best of both worlds, Sony PS3 experience with Graphics, Dolby Digital, Large Scale games, with a Wii like controller, It does not get much better then that. The Arc will do well WATCH For the nasayers out there watch this years E3 it may change your mind.
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