I anticipate around 10 million sales per year on average, until the release of a "PSThree", then I expect the PS3 to sell around 15 million on average.
So 2007 + 2008, about 20 million, I anticipate a slimline PS3 to launch somewhere in 2009. By the end of 2012 about 80 million sales. I do expect the PS3 to stay commercially available for much long though, so by the end of 2016 about 140 million.
Of course the are endless yet unknown factors. But overall I expect the PS3 to go well beyond 100 million for the long term.
So you expect the PS3 to sell 140 million?
Fair enough. I also expect it to rain meatballs in five minutes. This is why I am preparing a plate of spaghetti and ready to run outside.
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"There are like ten games a year that sell over a million units." High Voltage CEO - Eric Nofsinger