Is this game over for Sony?

[DreamsCast]

Diomedes, RR7 and Gundam haven't sold 150k, barely over 100k at this point. You are being a bit wild with some of your numbers. PS2 tie ratio was definitely better than PS3 has been, but with 3-4 times as much hardware sold at the same time. This is a massive difference. Honestly, PS3 has looked more like Gamecube, Dreamcast launch than PS2 / GBA / DS launch - these are the consoles that did big numbers. At this rate you'd struggle to see PS3 doing much over 5-6m numbers in Japan. And as for the games listed, most are sequels!! DMC FOUR, MGS FOUR etc etc. Now this isn't a bad thing in itself but with the console market in decline in Japan and gamers seemingly becoming bored with the same old titles then this won't be enough. Ridge Racer is pretty much dead as a major franchise, Tekken did nothing on PSP and Tekken 4/5 did poorly on PS2, Virtua Fighter hasn't done much better recently, DMC has been declining with each version - DMC 3 only did 250k, MGS will likely do a solid 500-750k, but to be honest only FF XIII looks like doing much over a million at the moment, but I think even that will be down. With a 20m+ userbase and plenty of hype, FF XII "only" did 2.35m in the end, XIII will probably struggle to reach 2m. Everbody said the same with the PSP launch - wait for Gran Turismo (still), Square RPGs (didn't Valkyrie Profile do well - FFIII, DQMJ, FFXII:RW, DQ IX, Seiken Densetsu all head to DS, most likely to feature on Wii), Winning Eleven bombed, Dynasty / Samurai warriors etc. Unfortunately, with the exception of GT and Final Fantasy, Sony doesn't really have any franchises, in Japan at least, capable of single-handedly selling the console. Of course there will be some successes - in the vein of Monster Hunter Portable - but all the traditional big guns (Tekken, Resident Evil, Devil May Cry, Onimusha, Winning Eleven, Dynasty Warriors, Everybodys Golf) are on the decline. 2006 was a poor year for PS2 despite some big games on paper- RPGs especially - but most failed to perform. With an obviously smaller userbase, an uphill struggle, a prohibitive price, no head start and strong competition from Wii this time around, I can only see a massive fall from grace for Sony on their sinking ship...