Reasonable said: Seems unlikely. Reading their report I'm not sure they're reading the 360 audience at all well. To get that kind of attach rate it needs either a huge upswing in casual buyers - which means a lot of people are going to have to decide to get a 360 and Natal vs Wii, or a heck of a lot of the current install base is going to have to buy Natal.
TBH neither of those seems likely to me. Wii has too much momentum for such as rapid swing to Natal and I don't see the current install base rushing out an buying it in those numbers.
Still, we'll see. |
What makes you think the casual market is loyal? I would fully expect them to jump onto the next great thing like lemmings of a cliff. The media certainly seem to be behind it and if they can translate some of that early hype and it works as promised I can see it succeeding. The Wii works because the fun people are having is in your face. The fun a person has playing a fps title for example would seem more like torture for those observing.
If the device works as planned and the price is right then I believe a casual market is their for the taking. Whether that is actually the kind of return these guys are talking about only time will tell.
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(Welsh(Folk) Living Beyond Borders)
Winner of the 2010 VGC Holiday sales prediction thread with an Average 1.6% accuracy rating. I am indeed awesome.
Kinect as seen by PS3 owners ...if you can pick at it ...post it ...
Did I mention the 360 was black and Shinny?
Keeping Sigs obscure since 2007, Passed by the Sig police 5July10.