The three you named + MAG (to some extent) and Epic Mickey

No More Heroes HD version
Monster Hunter 3 in Europe and USA
The next Feel Plus RPG for 360.

Heavy Rain, MAG, Last Guardian, ModNation Racers, Alan Wake, Dante's Inferno

I also think halo reach might fail and Alan wake looks like ghost busters lol

Dark Void, Bayonetta, M.A.G, WNK.

edit: Spoiler alert!!! sorry I didn't have it earlier if you didn't know about Modern Warfare story.

MW3

It was apparent in the second MW that they thought: What is the only way to beat the nuke from the first game, do something like it, but a whole bunch more times.

If they follow this logic, in MW3, you will be forced killed every 30 seconds.

Have to agree on the Drake Void.  Played the demo and I was very dissappointed..

Naw its going to draw in the numbers.  its a big exclusive that has been anticipated for the XBOX. 

No games, because if at least one person liked the game, it can't be considered a failure.

Now, the games I do think will fail/flop:

Red Dead Redemption

Dark Void

Dead To Rights Retribution

Guitar Hero Van Halen