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Forums - General - When/ If Iran gets Nukes, how will things change?

I certainly agree with that, then. montana Sorry, I just hate nuclear prolifeeration, and I really hate the tensions, which if cooler heads would previal we wouldnt have to deal with these issues. And I really dont like the dumbasses that come on here and say that it's ok -no big deal- if the nukes spread, which you were softly doing even though it was mostly hus and others.



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supercat said:

I certainly agree with that, then. montana Sorry, I just hate nuclear prolifeeration, and I really hate the tensions, which if cooler heads would previal we wouldnt have to deal with these issues. And I really dont like the dumbasses that come on here and say that it's ok -no big deal- if the nukes spread, which you were softly doing even though it was mostly hus and others.

You completely misunderstood me.

Hus seemed to state that nuclear weapons prevented a war between U.S. and U.S.S.R., which I disagreed with. Fear of destroying the world prevented a war between the two nations. Iran launching a nuclear weapon or two wouldn't destroy the world, so they might not be as hesitant to use them (although I generally think they wouldn't anyways). But I'm strongly against the spread of nuclear weapons. I see no use in a weapon that kills more citizens than soldiers.



 

 

Actually I agree with Hus in that the US and USSR is actually a comparable situation to Iran and Israel having nukes. Both involve certain destruction of large parts of both countries - the US/USSR didn't hold back for fear of destroying the world - they held back for fear of being destroyed.

Israel is actually vulnerable to even a small number of nukes due to it having such a high population density.


Mind you, I think the most stable situation is actually the current one on the nuclear front - Israel having the nukes is one of the things that keeps it from being invaded by hostile nations surrounding it and it would never ever be able to use them against a country that wasn't invading it (the lose of patronage of the US and the rest of the west would essentially sign its death warrant as a nation in my opinion).



MontanaHatchet said:
I'd rather the United States didn't involve itself in 3 wars in the course of about a decade. That's a bit much, even for us.

I think the best thing to do is remind Iran where they stand. If Iran is lucky, they might get 1 or 2 nukes. The U.S. has over 2,500 active nukes. Iran knows this, and they also know attacking any NATO nation (well, probably even any nation at all) would be suicide. I'm not too worried. The Iranian government is radical at times, sure, but not stupid.

The real worry isn't that they'll use their nukes.  It's that they will give them to people who will use them.  The Iranian national guard funds a LOT of terrorism.

Since someone stupidly let North Korea get nukes they'd even have a good excuse.



Rath said:
Actually I agree with Hus in that the US and USSR is actually a comparable situation to Iran and Israel having nukes. Both involve certain destruction of large parts of both countries - the US/USSR didn't hold back for fear of destroying the world - they held back for fear of being destroyed.

Israel is actually vulnerable to even a small number of nukes due to it having such a high population density.


Mind you, I think the most stable situation is actually the current one on the nuclear front - Israel having the nukes is one of the things that keeps it from being invaded by hostile nations surrounding it and it would never ever be able to use them against a country that wasn't invading it (the lose of patronage of the US and the rest of the west would essentially sign its death warrant as a nation in my opinion).

Yeah, that makes a lot of sense.

The real worry isn't what Iran would do with the nukes... but who Iran would give them too... either while still a country, or when their government gets overthrown.

Who knows what the ruling party would do... steal the nukes and sell them to terrorists, detonate them in iran as martyrs, fire them at Israel, Fire them at Europe...

Could do anything with them.



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You have a good point Kasz. Iran is the least politically stable its been since the Islamic Revolution, the last thing you need in the middle of a revolution is extremists (who undoubtedly do exist in positions of power in Iran) being pushed to desperation and holding the trigger of nuclear weapons. Especially when they're next to a state they despise beyond all others.



Hus said:
MrBubbles said:
iran doesnt care about mad, this is the country that cleared minefields by sending children to run over them...the desire for martyrdom is fairly strong among the shiites, they wont mind.

Nice BS, Fox news tell you that. 

im not from the US, so i dont get fox news. 

 

but which part are you saying is BS? if its the minefields, its commonly known that this was done during the iran iraq war. 



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Hus said:
Rath said:

Anyway - it will never reach that stage. Israel will take the risk of a strike on Iranian nuclear facilities before that occurs. I can't blame them really, the Iranian leadership has kinda vowed to wipe Israel off'f the map.

that might be harder them most think.

Irans military is not bad, their air defences are quality and air force ccould put up a fight if the purchese of Su30s is real.  

Wrong.

The only thing that matters is Iran's ADA. You can talk about the possibility of new purchases, but Iran is not known for capable pilots, nor savy ADA. I remember talking to a solider that was able to sum up Iran's ADA. Overall, it is not very good - better than some countries, but not very capable in terms of defending a massive attack by a top-tier airforce like America or Israel.

You can view Iran's ORBAT and inventory overview here:

http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/iran/airforce.htm

http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/iran/weapons.htm

 



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Hus said:
MrBubbles said:
iran doesnt care about mad, this is the country that cleared minefields by sending children to run over them...the desire for martyrdom is fairly strong among the shiites, they wont mind.

Nice BS, Fox news tell you that. 

Iran's usage of children to clear minefields is pretty well documented. Google 'iran minefield children' and you get this:

http://www.matthiaskuentzel.de/contents/ahmadinejads-demons

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military_use_of_children#Asia_and_the_Middle_East

 

Its not Fox news BS. It was reported by the Iranian newspapers. I'm very surprised you accused him of BS, yet never bothered looking to see if it was factual or disproven.

 



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