I'll do a JL - and say that it will struggle.
Although it has an established Sony fanbase, its not a particularly hardcore type of game. Its a game that would appeal to the average gamer/casual gamer on the PS2 - rather than the hardcore gamer.
But due to the PS3 price point, its primarily the hardcore gamers who have a console at this point in time. Looking for more mature, violent experiences - such as WarHawk, HS & Uncharted.
It may sell well in the long term - especially if Sony can continue to drive PS3 prices down.
I will guess at 220k first week, and around 600k by the end of the year (US sales). Much will depend on the take up of the cheaper PS3, and whether the 360 remains the console of choice in most peoples eyes.
Gesta Non Verba
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