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Forums - Sales Discussion - Wii 10 mln. or PS3 5 mln. in Japan. Who first?

Well I never said FFXIII would have the biggest opening. I said Famitsu, Media Create and the higher ups here were underestimating it by saying it would only do 1.5 million lifetime. He told me that I know nothing about sales and they do so I'd have to be wrong, and I'm not. Can't do much to spin that one, unless he thinks the game will sell 0 copies from this point on.



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Not sure how Avinash will spin it, Edouble. But spin he will!



Wii_Master said:
NeoMatrix said:
Only 650k for PS3 until 5 mln. goal.
Next week probably 450-500k. We are getting closer.

How? On the front page, it is showing PS3 at 4.10 Million meaning it still needs 900K till 5 Million. At the same time, Wii is at 9.07 Million meaning it needs 930K. Now just last week the Wii out sold PS3 in Japan by 61,189. Since it will keep selling more than PS3 in Japan every week, it will regain the difference of 30K next week ending Dec.19 and get a difference of about 30K in its favour. 

Last week numbers will be added only in several days. But we already know PS3's last week HW sales(245k+) for Japan.



Interesting race. They might even pass the threshold at the same time. It's the January drop off that will decide it.



Yes.

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bazmeistergen said:
Interesting race. They might even pass the threshold at the same time. It's the January drop off that will decide it.

I think it depends entirely on how well NSMB holds Wii sales afloat past the holidays.  PS3's Q1 is way stronger at this point, I wouldn't be surprised if it maintains a weekly lead over Wii early next year.

 

edit:

Q1 lineups for the curious...

Wii

  • 01.14.10 Biohazard: The DarkSide Chronicles (Capcom)
  • 01.28.10 Dance Dance Revolution: Music Fit (Konami)
  • 01.28.10 Tatsunoko Vs. Capcom: Ultimate All-Stars (Capcom)
  • 02.10.10 MadWorld (Spike)
  • 02.10.10 Radilgy Noir Wii (Milestone)
  • 02.11.10 Zangenki no Reginliev (Nintendo)
  • 02.25.10 Daikaishu Battle Ultra Coliseum DX: Ultra Senshi Daishuuketsu (Bandai)
  • 02.25.10 GTI Club World: City Race (Konami)
  • 02.25.10 Super Monkey Ball Athletic (Sega)
  • 03.18.10 Oyako de Asobo: Miffy no Omocha Bacho (Square Enix)
  • TBA Q1 Hospital (Atlus)
  • TBA Q1 No More Heroes: Desperate Struggle (Marvelous)
  • TBA Q1 O-warai Party Game 100 Bakusho! (Hudson)
  • TBA Q1 Red Steel 2 (Ubisoft)
  • TBA Q1 Silent Hill: Shattered Memories (Konami)
  • TBA Q1 Tower of Shadow (Hudson)

 

PlayStation 3

  • 01.07.10 James Cameron's Avatar (Ubisoft)
  • 01.14.10 Batman: Arkham Asylum (Square Enix)
  • 01.14.10 Operation Flashpoint: Dragon Rising (Codemasters)
  • 01.28.10 Ar Tonelico III: Sekai Shuuen no Hikigane wa Shoujo no Uta ga Hiku (Gust)
  • 01.28.10 Eat Lead: Matt Hazard no Gyakushuu (D3 Publisher)
  • 01.28.10 End of Eternity (Sega)
  • 01.28.10 Last Rebellion (N1 Soft)
  • 01.28.10 M.A.G. Massive Action Game (SCEI)
  • 01.28.10 WWE Smackdown Vs. Raw 2010 (Yuke's)
  • 02.04.10 Star Ocean: The Last Hope International (Square Enix)
  • 02.10.10 Sacred 2: Fallen Angel (Spike)
  • 02.10.10 Winter Sports 2010: The Great Tournament (Arc System Works)
  • 02.18.10 Biohazard 5: Alternative Edition (Capcom)
  • 02.18.10 Dante's Inferno: Shinkyoku Jigoku-Hen (EA)
  • 02.18.10 Heavy Rain (SCEI)
  • 02.18.10 Shin Sangoku Musou Online: Kamishou Ranbu (Koei Tecmo)
  • 02.25.10 No Fate! Only the Power of Will (Alchemist)
  • 02.25.10 No More Heroes: Heroes' Paradise (Marvelous)
  • 03.18.10 Ryu ga Gotoku 4: Densetsu o Tsugumono (Sega)
  • 03.25.10 Power Smash Live Match (Sega)
  • 03.25.10 Quantum Theory (Koei Tecmo)
  • TBA Q1 Bioshock 2 (D3 Publisher)
  • TBA Q1 Darksiders: Time for Judgement (Konami)
  • TBA Q1 EA Sports Grand Slam Tennis (EA)
  • TBA Q1 God of War III (SCEI)
  • TBA Q1 Gran Turismo 5: The Real Driving Simulator (SCEI)
  • TBA Q1 Hokuto no Ken Musou (Koei Tecmo)
  • TBA Q1 Lost Planet 2 (Capcom)
  • TBA Q1 Rainy Woods (Marvelous)
  • TBA Q1 Super Street Fighter IV (Capcom)
  • TBA Q1 Trinity: Zill O'll Zero (Koei Tecmo)
  • TBA Q1 Troy Musou (Koei Tecmo)

 

Xbox 360 

  • 01.07.10 James Cameron's Avatar (Ubisoft)
  • 01.14.10 Batman: Arkham Asylum (Square Enix)
  • 01.14.10 Operation Flashpoint: Dragon Rising (Codemasters)
  • 01.21.10 Moe Moe Ni-ji-Taisen Ultra Deluxe (Systemsoft Alpha)
  • 01.28.10 Eat Lead: Matt Hazard no Gyakushuu (D3 Publisher)
  • 01.28.10 End of Eternity (Sega)
  • 01.28.10 Stoked (Russel)
  • 01.28.10 WWE Smackdown Vs. Raw 2010 (Yuke's)
  • 02.10.10 Sacred 2: Fallen Angel (Spike))
  • 02.18.10 Dante's Inferno: Shinkyoku Jigoku-Hen (EA)
  • 02.25.10 Borderlands (Microsoft Game Studios)
  • 02.25.10 Espgaluda II Black Label (Cave)
  • 02.25.10 No Fate! Only the Power of Will (Alchemist)
  • 02.25.10 No More Heroes: Heroes' Paradise (Marvelous)
  • 03.11.10 Akatsuki no Amaneka to Aoi Kyojin (5pb.Games)
  • 03.25.10 Quantum Theory (Koei Tecmo)
  • TBA Q1 Bioshock 2 (D3 Publisher)
  • TBA Q1 Chaos; Head Love Chu Chu (5pb.Games)
  • TBA Q1 Darksiders: Time for Judgement (Konami)
  • TBA Q1 Hokuto no Ken Musou (Koei Tecmo)
  • TBA Q1 Lost Planet 2 (Capcom)
  • TBA Q1 Ninety-Nine-Nights II (Konami)
  • TBA Q1 Rainy Woods (Marvelous)
  • TBA Q1 Senko no Ronde DUO (G.Rev)
  • TBA Q1 Splinter Cell Conviction (Ubisoft)
  • TBA Q1 Super Street Fighter IV (Capcom)
  • TBA Q1 Troy Musou (Koei Tecmo)


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How is the PS3 Q1 stronger than Wii's?



DON'T WIN ME CHIBI BUDDY DON'T WIN ME.

ANIMAL CROSSING NEW LEAF FRIEND CODE:- 5129 1175 1029. MESSAGE ME.
ANDY MURRAY:- GRAND SLAM WINNER!

In my opinion the N64 was not just the best console of the 5th gen but, to this day the best console ever created!

peachbuggy said:
How is the PS3 Q1 stronger than Wii's?

Posted a list.  Basically it has more games and heavier hitters, though Q1 isn't final and should fill out more.  Unless Wii has a surprise big game announcement for March though (like Mario Galaxy 2?), I think PS3 will take it.



Don't see how the PS3 line-up is any better - for the Japan market anyway. Also EA Grand slam tennis would be for the Wii and not for PS3. Noticed that quite a few of the PS3 games were TBC too. So i can see at least a few of them slipping until later on in the year.



DON'T WIN ME CHIBI BUDDY DON'T WIN ME.

ANIMAL CROSSING NEW LEAF FRIEND CODE:- 5129 1175 1029. MESSAGE ME.
ANDY MURRAY:- GRAND SLAM WINNER!

In my opinion the N64 was not just the best console of the 5th gen but, to this day the best console ever created!

jarrod said:
peachbuggy said:
How is the PS3 Q1 stronger than Wii's?

Posted a list.  Basically it has more games and heavier hitters, though Q1 isn't final and should fill out more.  Unless Wii has a surprise big game announcement for March though (like Mario Galaxy 2?), I think PS3 will take it.

that would be too much Mario in a short span if it happens.



MikeB predicts that the PS3 will sell about 140 million units by the end of 2016 and triple the amount of 360s in the long run.

peachbuggy said:
Don't see how the PS3 line-up is any better - for the Japan market anyway. Also EA Grand slam tennis would be for the Wii and not for PS3. Noticed that quite a few of the PS3 games were TBC too. So i can see at least a few of them slipping until later on in the year.

No, it's the "gem" version, GST Wii already came out in Japan last summer.  Natal version likely won't ship until fall then.

And yeah, I expect some of the tba games to slip. 

 

If we reduce the lists down to just announced games with a confirmed date and are likely to sell 100k+...

Wii

  • 01.14.10 Biohazard: The DarkSide Chronicles (Capcom) 100k+

PlayStation 3

  • 01.28.10 End of Eternity (Sega) 100k+
  • 02.04.10 Star Ocean: The Last Hope International (Square Enix) 200k+
  • 02.18.10 Biohazard 5: Alternative Edition (Capcom) 100k+
  • 03.18.10 Ryu ga Gotoku 4: Densetsu o Tsugumono (Sega) 400k+

Xbox 360 

  • lol