So far isn't the 'price cut' only announced by a few US retailers?

Actually last year it broke a million 5 times from the last week of November to the last week in December. It also broke a million in December of 2007. So that's 6 times.

@ Tres, I don't think it's that crazy to think Wii can sell double what it did last year when you take into account the facts that have been presented here. Last year it sold 6.5 million in 5 weeks, so this year it might sell 12-13 million in 5 weeks, that being double what it was in 2008.

NPD for July

NPD for August

Sales went up from July to August. Sales may be up in September. Iwata predicted that the system would preform well in the 3rd quarter. It sold something.

September is a 5 week month, so I doubt sales would be down. You will need to get the weekly average and probably sales will be down a lot due to pricecut rumors.

September is also a 30 day month. If you look at weekly totals, some of them will be from August and some from October. If you are going by weeks, then you must look at each week individually and compare from there. using months and weeks will only skew the results.

What do you mean? NPD has 5 weeks going on for September, only 4 for August. Of course that 4 is smaller than 5, therefore comparisons making no sense.

If you trust VGC data you have the numbers here, there's no need to wait for NPD.

NPD does there data by months. So, five weeks would not matter. 30 days would. Also, 30 is smaller then 31.

VGChartz has their data set up in weeks, not months. If the week starts on September 29th, but is will also go into October. In fact, there is more time for that week in October, but it starts in Serptember. So how do you count it. I'm going by NPD because they go by months. It would be hard to switch between the two.

jist to let everyone know NSMWii will increase sells more than galaxy. WHY? Because if you were some kid and had the DS version and saw it on wii and have co op? I think its predictable

Certainly think some are overestimating Wii's potential, but others are heavily underestimating it. If NSMBWii takes off, it'll be a huge system seller, much like Kart Wii was. Wii Fit + won't, since it's a replacement for the existing Wii Fit bundle, and isn't going to convince many extra people.

The problem is whether or not NSMBWii suffers from the same problem as City Folk, in the similar vein of a very successful handheld game that they transplant to the console experience. If it does, it'll fizzle much like City Folk did, and struggle to break 4 million or so. If it breaks out, it will rival MK Wii, and outsell everything else this year, except Wii Sports Resort.

I agree with everything except for the part about 17M and Galaxy and OtherM at the same time. Ninty won't put all the games in the first quarter so I say either Galaxy or Other M delayed to June/July and I say roughly 15M not 17M...