With the advent of the 250GB slim bundle, we have to wonder as to what the price is going to be.
Obviously that answer is 400$. However, we know that Sony was nearly breaking even on one 400$ fat when bought with an extra controller and game, and also factoring in HOME since the cost was 440-16$(game)-20(controller)-~6$(DLC+Home estimates).On top of that aussie boxes and UK sets were over cost, and are used to subsidize the console as a whole.
As of a few months ago, Sony reported that manufacturing costs were down 70% with a 240$ cost for the ps3 without shipping, retailer costs, and exchange rate...
Now the ps3 slim was recently said to have a materials cost of 400, with manufacturing costs being doubled.
However, now that there is going to be a 400$ machine with a minimal additional cost incurred, that might change.
Because of the holiday season coming up, sony has no doubt ramped up production exponentially and thereby is going to be reducing those costs very quickly. By the end of this holiday season the ps3 slim could be at 320-340, with a 400$ console still on the market to break the costs even.
EDIT:
dbot's post was very intuitive and clear, so here it is:
The $400 sku is important to Sony because it allows them to keep the average console sale above $300. Depending upon the pack in, the $400 sku will move the average PS3 cost to at least $330. As of the most recent NPD. the Xbox average console sale was at $260. That is just in NA which is the strongest territory for MS. That number will drop significantly without the $400 Elite. That's at least a $70 spread in pricing in Sony's favor.
-A 330$ average revenue per ps3, Sony can actually break in by early 2010.









