Kantor said:
NJ5 said:
kowenicki said: So are people here saying the title of this thread should be "component orders surprisingly low" considering the 13m shipped forecast? 3m seems to leave them with a lot of woirk to do to get to the 13m. |
Sony has a dismal track record on forecast accuracy. This forecast of increasing PS3 sales by 30% in a recession year was at the very least, very suspect.
At the beginning of the year I said they'd need to pull a huge rabbit out of their hats to attain it. Now I say it's outright impossible unless they cut the PS3 price by like $200.
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Their prediction for FY08 was spot on- 10 million. They wouldn't just randomly out of the blue say "HEY ITZ GONNA RISE 30%!!!!!!!", they have something up their sleeves, but with how long they've waited, I'm not sure it'll be enough to meet their, admittedly optimistic, forecast.
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I thought Sony's initial forecast for FY08 was higher, then reduced later in the year. I could be wrong, though.