I'm about to start handing out time outs.
Shadowblind said:
Huh? If what your saying it true, then these PS3 fanboys which you discredit so much are saying the exact same thing as TheSource. They both say "The 360 has reached its peak year in 2008", despite fanboys also saying the same thing for every year the 360 has been on the market. I understand where you get this whole "3 year cycle" stuff from, but as you have seen, this genreation isn't like many others before it. Games don't make a winner this time around.
Analysts make PREDICTIONS. PREDICTIONS, thus they don't know for certain what is going to happen. They make predictions based off of passed trends, and trends thus far have only shown the 360 rising. TheSource as credible as he may be, can't tell you future, as neither me nor you can. And as far as past trends go, this generation had continuously gotten larger and larger sales YoY. I expect 360 to break 1 mil for Black Friday week next week, and "past trends" have led me to that prediction. Thus, I predict 360 will sell even greater next year then 2008. Past trends are the only source I can use. |
I really don't give a fuck what you predict.
I don't care what analysts do.
I simply stated what our analyst said about sales and about year 3 being peak.
You didn't like it and tried to call me out. And got all crazy over game sales.
I really don't care. I simply made a statement backed up by history and that was it. If you don't like what I said, then don't like it, but don't go all crazy because it's not all roses and sunshine. >_> Maybe this is peak year, maybe it isn't who knows.
We'll see in a year.
Edit:
Just Read FishyJoe's comment: Don't ban me! D:
DMeisterJ said:
I didn't say "Source said this year is 360's peak". I said that he said that year 3 is generally the peak. This is 360's 3rd year, so that statement applies. Of course it could pull a DS, but last I checked, it's not selling anywhere near that, or the Wii. So the chances of that are slim to none. Who knows what will happen. I'm no analyst so I could easily be wrong. I'm not saying that I'm right, but I do have a great deal of histor with most consoles following this trend. We'll see come 12/31/09. |
No, either I didn't explain myself properly or you didn't understand. The leap from "generally speaking, a console's third year is it's peak" to "such statement will hold true for the 360" is not TheSource's, its yours. Your statement isn't backed by TheSource, is based on TheSource's research into past sales history.
So he isn't challenging TheSource's opinions and statements, but yours. Hence why he should take this to you, not him and why you should give a reason why you believe events will unfold in such a way when questioned about it beyond just calling upon TheSource's authority to back your own opinion.
edit: splitting hairs, I know...
Eh, DMJ is, for the most part, right.
The 3rd year is usually the year that sees cresting in terms of market demand.
However, what remains to be told is how slowly a given console drops after the 3rd year.
In the Playstation 2's case, it saw ~18 million units sold through in 03, ~15 million in 04, ~17 million in 05, ~12 million in 08, and another ~16 million since 07.
That's another 333% more units sold after it's 'crest' year.
Now, I must ask: If the X360 crests at 11-12 million units sold through...How would selling an additional 36-40 million Xbox 360's be a bad thing?
Back from the dead, I'm afraid.
mrstickball said: Eh, DMJ is, for the most part, right. The 3rd year is usually the year that sees cresting in terms of market demand. However, what remains to be told is how slowly a given console drops after the 3rd year. In the Playstation 2's case, it saw ~18 million units sold through in 03, ~15 million in 04, ~17 million in 05, ~12 million in 08, and another ~16 million since 07. That's another 333% more units sold after it's 'crest' year. Now, I must ask: If the X360 crests at 11-12 million units sold through...How would selling an additional 36-40 million Xbox 360's be a bad thing? |
It wouldn't.
I know you didn't say that, but I never said that sales would fall off the dark side of the moon after year 3. I simply stated sales will not be any higher than this year. People seem to get too testy when you say something nowadays.
But we shouldn't discuss this anymore, FishyJoe might ban you.