First, I have to say this very clearly.
We are going to face a massive recession, maybe even a depression.
Here are some things that make me believe this and the solutions.
Consumer Spending and Private Investment are falling (minus the rebate check). Just like they were in 1929. The government only solved the problem in 1939 when they started spending massive amounts on armaments.
- Deficit spending on no-return programs. Mainly the War in Iraq. Modern military production is not like that of WWII, manufacturing is done mostly by a handful of people benifiting long investors not people who will spend on the economy.
- Withdrawal Treaty (Sorry, I mean Defense Treaty) must include a trade deal. We leave, give them free tech and support, and give them preference on non-oil exports from Iraq for guaranteed buying of American products. Or something to that effect.
- Misunderstanding the problem. People's homes are losing value, people are not paying their mortgages, and losing their homes. This hurts everyone, the homeowners, banks, and the whole country because the domino effect of tightening credit supply and less demand for credit. The government is pretending it's a liquidity problem. The bailouts are reminicent of Hoovers failed RFC, where they lent money to failing businesses.
- Stop the bull shit. Refinance homes, not big companies. If the company is still failing after all the buyouts, let it fail. But once the bad debt is bought, they won't fail. Give the homeowners a 2-3 year period not to make payments, and then collect them like student loans. If they don't pay for a few months, start taking from the paycheck.
- Job Creation, the government is going to try and throw money at the problem. Create jobs. Finance Emergency and Education programs around the country to hire more police, fire, and teachers. Pay them more.
- Infrastructure must be fixed. More local train services, buses, schools, wind mills, etc. etc. etc. Immediately. Put the construction force to work on things we need anyway.
- Increase student loan availability. So people out of work and existing students can leave work force and live off their loans. This will make workers more competitive and get some money to promising people to spend.
How will this be paid for?
Raise taxes on all people above poverty(~18k/yr) but increase the standard deduction so people on the lower end will be paying the same.
Offer tax write offs for good investment. (This is how the middle and upper class will save on taxes) This will include U.S. bonds set up specifically to front the money for the mortgage buy back and student loans.
Allow immigrants to work legally. They don't make enough to pay significant taxes, but now they will be able to deposit into banks, add liquidity and they will be paying into SS/FICA and many will never cash in by choice because of short stays.
They have to act fast. If we hit 10%+ unemployment all business and workers will start feeling it and it will grow very fast from there.
I would cite regulation, but I know you will simply ignore it.







