25k-30k is my prediction. That would be a victory in MS eyes for sure though.

Also, the Xbox360 record in Japan is

17k when Ace Combat 6 was released (70k first week)

From Y-Koron's previews, we know that the 360 sold 6k in Japan this last week. How is that suddenly going to jump over to 40k? Hell, Tales of Vesperia would be lucky to crack 200k lifetime in Japan, so how come Blue Dragon or Lost Odyssey didn't move 40,000 units in their opening week?

 Tales will sell better than Blue dragon and lost odyssey.

You see a week before Blue Dragon came out the 360 sold about 4.5k and a week before Tales the 360 will sell about 6k so that tells you this is going to be a bigger game.

Ha ha, no.

15k at best.

No, it doesn't.

what's the source of only 7.5k bundle with tales of versperia??

I'm thinking at 15 000...
the week of blue dragon, 360 sold 38 000 if i remember coorectly, so 40 000 is possible... but not at this time of the year...

Who is less likely to buy a 360 than a Japanese?

40k Hardly 20k maybe.