Louie said: I hope you guys know those numbers mean nothing - neither Blu-Ray nor HD DVD has reached the market penetration it would need to be important. I do not say Blu-Ray will fail but there is a difference between casual consumers and tech freaks - the casual consumer will look at the price will notice the thing is called HD DVD (and he/she knows what a DVD is) and will buy the cheaper option. All those people who are buying HD DVD and Blu-Ray now are tech-freaks and they buy the more modern option (blu-ray). This is not to say HD DVD will win but this "format war" is not yet over. Just look at Beta and VHS: Everyone bought Beta because it was the more modern, freaky choice and in the end VHS won because it was cheaper. For me this is a tough thing: If blu-Ray wins I´ll go for a PS3, if HD DVD wins I´ll go for a 360... what a world. |
This came right after my post all about how that market WILL exist by february 2009.
VHS won because it was cheaper? Seemed to me it won because betamax started with only a one-hour capacity. VHS's 2 hours made it work better for studio releases, and the 4hour LP and 6hour EP made it better for home recording.
I still remember those beta sections in the video stores where practically every rental was a 2-volume set.
Blu-ray has the space advantage in this instance, and like I mentioned in the last post, once that market is there for content-filled releases, studios will prefer blu-ray for that reason.
LTNK surely some will get a converter and some will get a digital SD but there will undoubtedly be millions more HDTV's in use over a short time period. Also you can't dismiss my knowledge that 1080p is visibly better than 1080i, even to non-videophiles, just because I only have 1080i. All the defects I see from interlacing wouldn't be there in progressive scan.
My employer has about 30 Dell LCD's with 1024 horizontal, ran it about $150 each. I see cheap 1024-horizontal monitors advertised all the time. I know HDCP jacks up the price some for lcd TVs, but still more for 1080p than 1080i. Are they that much more in demand? Could be, they are much better.