Well, at least it isn't negative Wii sales again.  

http://www.psxextreme.com/ps3-news/3047.html

Eventually, we're going to have to stop calling the PlayStation 3, Xbox 360 and Wii "next-generation consoles" because before too long, a whole new generation will be upon us (time travels fast, friends). And according to GameSpot and Pacific Coast Securities' Evan Wilson, we can expect that next generation to kick off in 2010.

Wilson was talking about EA's ambitious revenue predictions, and then he moved into his expectations for the new set of consoles that will become available in due time. He thinks Nintendo will launch theirs first (presumably, in 2010), followed by Microsoft a year later...but interestingly enough, Wilson made no mention of a PlayStation 4. He moved on to say the next set of Nintendo and Sony portables will drop in 2010 as well, although he didn't specify whether he was talking about whole new systems or just new versions of the DS and PSP. But getting back to the consoles, does it strike anyone else as a little strange that Wilson picked 2010? That's only two years off, after all, and perhaps the reason he didn't mention the PS4 is because Sony keeps saying the PS3 is at the start of a 10-year life cycle.

So if he's correct, it means we'll see something like the Xbox 720 or the Wii2 in a couple years time, and the PS3 will just continue along for another six years? Wouldn't Sony be more inclined to produce another competing system earlier? Well, we know the PS3 hasn't fully realized its exceedingly high potential, so perhaps the PS3 is capable of producing software on par with Xbox 720 titles. Oh well, we'll have to see what transpires over the next few years...and the waiting is half the fun.

 

There is no way in hell the Wii will be succeeded in 2010. This "generation" just started. Why makes games for a system w/ only 2 years left in the tank. These analysts really have the ANAL part down.

 I presume it was that line of creative thinking that earned him the title "Crazy Analyst of the Day". =P 

I don't understand. What are these analysts' justification for Nintendo killing off the leading console? I am pretty sure they like money.

According to Sean Malstrom, from what Iwata said to the investors, that's unlikely anytime soon.

http://malstrom.50webs.com/news.htm

If this should be getting a trend(lifecircles of consoles getting shorter and shorter)i will go bankrupt.

if anything, the next-gen war starts at in 2011-2012
... its too early!!

And i have a funny itch that tells me M$ will want to be
first out of the gate again. You gotta admit it helped them
this round a lot. I'm sure they will do it again (hopefully, with
better hardware!--i'm looking at you RRoD!)

I agree with aiden, 2011 at the earliest. These companies like money and Nintendo is rolling in it (see my sig) and Microsoft and Sony will need the extra time to sell their systems at a profit to make back the billions they lost by selling their hardware at a loss.

This prediction fails, because it isn't half as hilarious as what we heard from analysts in the past two years.

looking at Nintendo's track record they always stagger their handhelds and consoles and with the launch of DS demo station and Ninty's step into download games and DLC I think it's more likely they'll be a new handheld thats slimmer with a storage capacity of some sort.

That alone pushes a new console back to 2011 (if the handheld launched next year in 09) at the very earliest - 2012 is more likely.

MS will be first in my opinion as the wii will still have the casuals attention, the PS3 will have moved comfortably into 2nd and they'll be floundering.