I editted my post, it would mean the industry would grow with 75%!! not 50%, but 75%, that's getting way too close to doubleling the industry in one gen, can't see that happen

I don't see why people expect the PS3 and 360 to defy logic and sell so much more overall than past-generation "second banana" systems have. Saying the PS3 is going to hit 80 million just strikes me as rather... wishful thinking, really. For that to happen, the PS3 would have to hit about 40 million units before it hits its sales apogee, and it's not even halfway to that. And the 360 is already showing signs of heading down the other end of the sales curve, meaning it's unlikely to ever double its current units sold in its full lifetime.

no he said 80 mill for the PS3 and 360 combined Sky

Ah. Well that is remotely possible, but again unlikely. The 360's current sales trends, if they follow the sales trends of past second-place systems (and it's not looking like it won't do just that), will probably top out at around 30 million, assuming MS doesn't do the same thing they did with the original XBOX and can it when they release its successor. The PS3 isn't as easy to guess at, given that it's experiencing consistently boosted sales (meaning it hasn't yet hit its apogee), but I do kind of doubt it'll manage 50 million units lifetime. It would take a lot of significant somethings for that to happen...

kingofwale, you can't look at all of video game history as just "Sony's history." That's 2 systems. No matter what statistic or trend you look at, the PS3 will not sell like the PS1 or PS2. No matter what statistic or trend you look at, the Wii will not sell like the GC. I mean... we're not even looking at history anymore. We're looking at the present. Every single week the picture is clearer. The Wii will outsell the PS2. Every market leader gets an extended run long past the beginning of the next generation. NES, SNES, PS1, PS2, GBA, Wii, etc.

I don't think so. Maybe it could achieve Ps2 sales, but not higher. Max is 150 million.

Nintendo will be on decline again with it's successor and the PS brand will overtake again IMO. PS3 for Sony may be more than just a hiccup for them but they should be able to bounce back, and when they do Nintendo's novelty would have easily worn off by then. I can't see anybody buying Wii 2 for the motion sensing controls, but maybe Nintendo has another trick up their sleeve? If they do I HIGHLY doubt it would meet the eyes of the public like the Wii did. We have nothing really to go by except the assumption that Wii's novelty will eventually wear off (I'm guessing 2009/2010), and then motion controllers will be the norm. The way I see it is all Sony needs to do is do what they did with the PS2 and keeps with the times but without the arrogance and most powerful hardware crap, if they do that along with better online capabilities like Home Version 2 for PS4 then they're pretty much set. I mean you can't advance the gaming industry to far so soon, the next step for gaming is I guess either 3D Perspective goggles or virtual reality, either of which would be way to expensive and we've seen what happens with expensive technology, PS3 anyone?

there is chance a significantly enough amount of Wii owners will also adapt a PS3 in the future, especially in Europe and Japan

In my opinion, one of the major unknowns is whether the larger userbase and lower development costs on the Wii are going to end up comming together to provide the Wii with a massively larger game library in a couple of years; if a developer put equal resources to the Wii and the PS3/XBox 360 this would translate into many more Wii games being produced than PS3/XBox 360 games (and if they devote greater resorces to the Wii this will just become a far more dramatic difference). If this happens it is likely that the "Core" gamers will own a Wii because it will have enough impressive games to justify its purchase, "General" gamers will buy a Wii because the Wii will have the largest library of games that appeal to them, and "Unconventional/New" gamers will buy the Wii because it is the only system targeted towards them; it should be noted that most "Core" gamers are probably going to own a PS3 or XBox 360, and many "General" gamers may buy one aswell.

If this happens the Wii will be in (pretty much) every household where videogames are played and could easily approach 200 Million.

Novelty...there's that word again. Why does one assume the novelty of the Wii will fade but not for PS3?