It's not because of the grain situation although the grain situation is becoming an ugly public spat between Ukraine and Poland, in addition Poland's elections are coming up so PiS is doubling down on being shit and they were already pretty nationalistic shitheads so this argument between them and Ukraine is getting blown up.

The reason Poland claims that they've stopped deliveries, or in this case, Morawiecki claims, is because Poland have already given away most of their Soviet-era stuff to Ukraine and is now focusing on rearming itself by purchasing modern equipment and weapons from other countries such as the USA.

He made clear that the transit hub in Rzezsow will remain functional in consultation with the United States and NATO and all Western aid will still get into Ukraine through that on the same schedules. So basically, Poland simply doesn't have much else to give to Ukraine but the stop has happened amid this spat so now everyone is blaming it on the grain argument.

This grain situation isn't good though, Poland did say they wouldn't stop supporting Ukraine over something like grain but we'll see.

I admit I only glossed over what our national news outlets have written this morning, but if that's actually the primary cause of this thing this isn't much of a drama.

Responding to the questions.

1. ATACMS is a missile for the M270 MLRS and the M142 HIMARS. Ukraine employs both of these in the battlefield already in significant numbers.

2. Yes, I would assume so, there are a lot of HIMARS and MLRS in the battlefield and they wouldn't cannibalize Storm Shadow as ATACMS is a ground launched only missile from the HIMARS/MLRS systems whilst Storm Shadow is a air launched missile only from a fighter jet. They're both long range missiles but completely different in how they're deployed (and work, Storm Shadow should be harder to intercept).

3. I would say yes, considering all the strikes Ukraine has been doing on key targets but with such a limited number they likely have to be extremely careful on picking their targets. In addition, they may be scenarios where using ATACMS may be preferable to using Storm Shadow and vice versa, such as taking into account the ability to intercept, Storm Shadow is harder so it may be saved for the most valuable targets.

Using Storm Shadow on places such as Crimea is also more dangerous as well as it has to be lobbed from a jet, which means a very valuable asset has to fly close to the frontlines for certain parts of Crimea, putting them at risk of Russia's anti-air defences. HIMARS hasn't really had this issue, they've been employed near the frontlines a lot because it's easy to "shoot and run" with them.

At current frontlines, Storm Shadow can't reach all of Crimea, ATACMS can.

4. Has France not sent SCALP? I don't know if that's true or not, as I've seen speculation in past strikes on Russia whether it was Storm Shadow or SCALP, it's hard to tell as they are exactly the same missile, the only difference is how they fit onto a jet. So honestly some of these Storm Shadow strikes could be SCALP.

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Now I understand with other equipment the issue of training but it ain't even that, often these countries are spending months of debate over whether to send something and then they begin the training, instead of beginning the training from the very start, if we didn't spend months of stupid debating over sending Ukraine things like tanks and instead started the training ASAP then they would have had them far sooner.

I'm not saying that the west hasn't done a lot, because we have, there are things that pre-war I would have doubted the west would have cared enough about Ukraine to send but we could still be doing a lot better than we are and moving a lot quicker than we currently are, the west is often reacting to Russia instead of taking the lead.

So where would the grain normally go if they could use the black sea? Assuming it would end up in Europe, what does it matter if by land or sea? They worried a black market will happen in those other countries?