Russia and Ukraine flashpoint

Ryuu96

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Ryuu96 on 12 May 2023

#UkraineRussianWar As yesterday, orcs fled from Bakhmut under the blows of Ukrainian artillery pic.twitter.com/VKXbmq7JI9
— Getty 🇺🇦 🔜 (@region776) May 12, 2023

GeoConfirmed UKR.

"Russians, north of Bakhmut, according to the Russian MOD 'occupied the frontier, taking into account the favorable conditions of the Berkhivs'ke Reservoir.'

Are they? 🤔 They seem to be fleeing.

48.633911, 37.943579
GeoLocated by @Mortenthebjorn

👇 https://t.co/bQXitnr4CK
— GeoConfirmed (@GeoConfirmed) May 12, 2023

DeepState released footage of Russian forces fleeing the battlefield near Bohdanivka-Berkhivka. pic.twitter.com/OY32NOe2vC
— NOELREPORTS 🇪🇺 🇺🇦 (@NOELreports) May 12, 2023

All involved parties more or less agree in reference to the latest developments around Bakhmut.

Russian lines along the northern and southern flanks of Bakhmut are crumbling. But also in the city itself Russians have been losing ground. More importantly, this also confirms that… pic.twitter.com/UvxdyQjOud
— (((Tendar))) (@Tendar) May 12, 2023

All involved parties more or less agree in reference to the latest developments around Bakhmut.

Russian lines along the northern and southern flanks of Bakhmut are crumbling. But also in the city itself Russians have been losing ground. More importantly, this also confirms that the Ukrainian supply lines have gotten considerable relief and are in no immediate way to be cut off.

Also, I don't think that this is *the* counteroffensive, but more of a local development based on the Russian loss of troops and, effectively, momentum. Prigozhin's complaint might be genuine, considering that Shoigu will need all reserves for the upcoming Ukrainian offensive and most certainly will not be inclined to help his rival.

Either way, in my opinion and judging the current situation the Ukrainian determination to continue to defend Bakhmut has turned out to be the absolutely right decision.

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Ryuu96 on 12 May 2023

🇺🇸🇺🇦

The 31 Abrams tanks promised to 🇺🇦 by 🇺🇸 are reported to have arrived in 🇩🇪, with training to begin soon. The initial timeline suggested they'd only come into use in Ukraine in 2024, and that's clearly moved up up up (as expected).

H/t @deaidua https://t.co/N7jNJBI5rc pic.twitter.com/IlskN07vWf
— Domen Prešern (@domenpresern) May 12, 2023

NEW: Wagner chief Prigozhin says that the Russian army is "fleeing" positions near Bakhmut - AFP
— Faytuks News Δ (@Faytuks) May 12, 2023

Occupied Crimea: Russian Mi-28 crashed near Dzhankoi, killing both pilots https://t.co/75byyR1lyP
— Liveuamap (@Liveuamap) May 12, 2023

CNN’s Nic Robertson interview 4 Ukrainian commanders who took part in the recent, successful counterattacks on the outskirts of Bakhmut.

They say that improved weather, combined with the arrival of Western infantry fighting vehicles, is what made it possible for them to advance pic.twitter.com/JV7u0AoDud
— Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) May 12, 2023

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Ryuu96 on 12 May 2023

In the past 24-48 hours (leaning more towards 24), north of Bakhmut, Ukraine has reversed about 2.5 months worth of Russian advances. pic.twitter.com/syaxCJWb5Z
— Andrew Perpetua (@AndrewPerpetua) May 12, 2023

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Ryuu96 on 12 May 2023

First use of Storm Shadow?!

According to RU Rybar, Luhansk City was hit by what they claim is a cruise missile. This is very interesting because Luhansk functions as a large military base and logistics hub. https://t.co/FofePLAVaj pic.twitter.com/bfWgNWds8q
— Def Mon (@DefMon3) May 12, 2023

Missile strikes reported in the temporarily occupied city of Luhansk, eastern Ukraine. The target was apparently an oil depot in the city.

At over 100km behind the front line, the city is well out of range of Ukraine's HIMARS/M270 fired GMLRS rockets... pic.twitter.com/Ls5IhNB0hm
— Jimmy Rushton (@JimmySecUK) May 12, 2023

Something big is burning in occupied city of Luhansk after an AFU strike. 90 kms away from the frontline. So it was not HIMARS... What was it? 🤔 🇬🇧
First time in a long long time that the city is hit.#lviv pic.twitter.com/yCfzFIZC5L
— TheLvivJournal (@LvivJournal) May 12, 2023

Russian Sources are reporting that 2 Ukrainian Ballistic/Cruise Missiles have possibly Struck the City of Luhansk in Eastern Ukraine with Significant Damage being noted near the Site of the Explosions. pic.twitter.com/iEqW9Xaekm
— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) May 12, 2023

Last edited by Ryuu96 - on 12 May 2023

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Ryuu96 on 12 May 2023

Possible first use of Storm Shadow cruise missiles in Ukraine. A possible plant that was used as reported repair base by Russia was hit in Luhansk city. The target is reportedly out of the range of HIMARS GMLRS munitions. pic.twitter.com/BQcaljZloT
— ELINT News (@ELINTNews) May 12, 2023

Footage from one of the missile strike locations. Local Russian Telegram channels are claiming two missiles hit targets within Luhansk city. pic.twitter.com/QXQPlEIcpc
— Jimmy Rushton (@JimmySecUK) May 12, 2023

The Factory appears to have been Totally Destroyed with multiple Office and Industrial Buildings nearby suffering Severe Damage from the Explosion and resulting Fire, however it appears that Firefighters have contained the Fire to only the Factory Complex. pic.twitter.com/MPfR9vBHVC
— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) May 12, 2023

Jesus.

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Ryuu96 on 12 May 2023

Thank you, Great Britain 🇬🇧 @UKinUkraine pic.twitter.com/OO8joXOGSe
— SPRAVDI — Stratcom Centre (@StratcomCentre) May 12, 2023

We believe that our Leopards, Challengers, and Abramses could use some good company.
Nothing is a better bet than the Oplot, which was developed in Ukraine and will be serially produced for the #UAarmy! pic.twitter.com/frYz3yE5VU
— Oleksii Reznikov (@oleksiireznikov) May 12, 2023

Aftermath of the Ukrainian strike that just happened in Luhansk, targeting what was rumored to be a supply/repair base. https://t.co/uNBIh3iEz0
— Aric Toler (@AricToler) May 12, 2023

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Ryuu96 on 12 May 2023

Combined with Storm Shadow, this is going to be a living nightmare for Russian air defense.

I suspect that we will see some important things blow up in the near future.
— Oliver Alexander (@OAlexanderDK) May 12, 2023

Image circulating throughout Telegram showing an ADM-160B MALD (Miniature Air-Launched Decoy) decoy missile found in central Luhansk.

The ADM-160B MALD main payload is a Northrop Grumman SAS which allows the decoy missile to simulate any aircraft in the U.S. inventory. pic.twitter.com/jM7xVOIKyY
— doge (@IntelDoge) May 12, 2023

UA forces have been poking the RU defenses in the Zaporizhzhia direction lately. There are some minor progress in two directions. This is not a 1 day thing. It also looks like an unusual amount of Russian targets geolocated lately in the area. pic.twitter.com/smB8rl2yEa
— Def Mon (@DefMon3) May 12, 2023

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Ryuu96 on 12 May 2023

Neat: https://t.co/631nBY2mwf
— Michael Weiss (@michaeldweiss) May 12, 2023

Looks like America secretly sent these at the same time as Storm Shadow.

ADM MALD + Storm Shadow in combo, ADM to trick Russia's AD and Storm Shadow to destroy the target.

The nine-foot-long, 300-pound MALD manages this feat via a Signature Augmentation Subsystem (SAS), which leverages active radar enhancers that broadcast across a wide range of frequencies to fool defensive radar systems into mistaking the missile-shaped MALD for jets ranging from the original gangster of stealth, the F-117 Nighthawk, all the way up to massive payload-ferrying bombers like the B-52.

Last edited by Ryuu96 - on 12 May 2023

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Ryuu96 on 12 May 2023

Only U.S. Military Aircraft such as the F-16 and B-52 are known to be Capable of Launching ADM-160 MALDS so this most likely means they have found some way to Mount and Launch them from Ukrainian MiG-29s without announcing it which would be Massive. pic.twitter.com/EEEQAxpMyq
— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) May 12, 2023

Ukraine continue to pull off amazing feats.

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Ryuu96 on 12 May 2023

Past Few Days.

- Prigozhin Tantrums, Infighting.
- Ukraine Reversing 2.5 Months Worth of Russian Advances in Bakhmut in 24-48 Hours.
- Russians Fleeing Around Bakhmut.
- Ukraine Probing (Successfully) Across the Frontline.
- First Successful Use of Storm Shadow, on Luhansk.
- Russian Telegrams Freaking Out.
- Russian Military Freaking Out.

🙂

Last edited by Ryuu96 - on 12 May 2023

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