Right now i upped my 155 million LTD prediction by march 2027 to 157 million LTD by march 2027. If this FY is even average, i might up it to 160 million+ but i am not quite there yet.

Posting here my post from the Switch vs DS in the US article:

Let's say Europe sold 130k Switches in January, bringing Switch's sales up to 149.18. Now let's assume an avarage baseline of 400k for the Switch from February to October and 2 million units sold through November and December. We have 154.78 million. Now a 200k from January/2026 to October/2026 and 1.2 million units through November/2026 to December 2026. We have 157.98 million. If it is still ongoing in 2027, let's apply a harsher decline in sales: 80k avarage baseline from January to October and 900k though November and December: 159.68 million.

I'm usually pessimistic in my predictions and the numbers end up being a little bit higher, and I started this projections from VGChartz numbers. If I had started from the shipments numbers from Nintendo's report, it would have passed 160 million mark for shipped Switch. Believing that the Switch won't pass the PS2 isn't craziness nor the opposite. I think that today's scenario is very unclear to know in which side of the 160 M mark the Switch will land, but frankly, it has always been like this and I think that the possibility of the Switch passing the PS2 will remain unclear until the very end, like when people used to follow DS's sales to see if it would pass the 33 million mark

Tbh at this point it can just leg it out to 160m 3DS went on to sell a further 7-8m or so after Switch launched after all and mind you Switch can still get a price cut having gone it's entire run with out a universal one.

people still doubting Switch
It will be #1 after 2025 holidays