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Forums - Gaming Discussion - Mafia Round 74 -Overwatch Theme

If he's just a compulsive lurker then I agree it lessens the odds he's a scum character. That kind of thing still makes me want to lynch but I guess we should look for better prospects if they are available.



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Clyde32 said:
I think if Stefl is third party he would be a safe lynch regardless of what his role was. The main positive side of lynching on day 1 is the amount of information that comes out of it. If we were to lynch a third party on the first day we would garner all the benefits without losing an actual townie in the fray.

I agree with the notion you are trying to convey, but lynching 3rd party is a must, no matter what. The only thing you can do is keep them around if you think they have a non-killing role and in return you can remove something really detrimental to town. That is why one simply has to hunt scum, not third party or anything.

spurgeonryan said:
Xander was brought up, probably because I believe Final Fan does not know him. The guy has barely said anything and last game he was lynched for basically that very thing.

It is more likely a lurker who has said afew tthings to asee active. Don't you agree? So if that were the route, I would not do Xander. And this is not buddying him, just my opinion on the matter.

@ baaz

You brought up generic game, most likely to hint that you are townie. But do you really think that a game this big would be all vanilla? I ask because I do not think that has happened be for since I have played. Seems like a bizaar assumption or thought.

No, he just asked if the game was vanilla cuz he also thought it was powered - is the simplest way to put it. Me thinking it was mid-level power game seems to make him think I am scum.. He exactly said the opposite of what you claim he is saying: He thought it is unlikely to be vanilla just from how unlikely it is that a vanilla game is hosted here. We had fairly vanilla games with 14 players.

Well, in my defense to that I can only either say what linkz already said: He kinda did it himself, he has a good excuse to do so if he isn't vanilla but powered and knows the whole role-shenanigans we sometimes do here (add to that that it is a really nice flavour for a power game) and he would have an uncommon role it would even further point to at least some more powers out there. I am really irked by the double standards going against me this game.

theprof00 said:
I'm interested in hearing what some other people have to say

Exactly why I took a step back yesterday, for me to say it would feel retarded, since I am actually in the crossfire and it would just seem like a petty attempt to distract people.

Anyway, if i checked correctly there is 2 people that did nothing so far (mr. p, xander) and Darwin who seems to be testing the waters a bit much and I would like to start hearing some opinions from. I would like to check if there if there was any difference in day 1 behaviour as town versus as scum later today, but from my mind it only started on day 2 that he behaved differently and his day 1 is just passive.



Well, for now I have two options, neither of them really safe, but I suppose that's the game for you. One is avoid a first day lynch, but that doesn't mean the bad guys will be stopped, rather the opposite. On the other hand, if I point out someone to lynch, and that person is not lynched in the end, or if it's lynched and it turns out to be innocent, I'm just putting a target on my back.

Now my rudimentary math, please feel free to correct me if I'm wrong. I don't remember how many bad guys were exactly, lets just say 4. There are 13 playing now. So that leaves us with 4/13 mafia and 9/13 innocent townspeople. If we lynch someone now, we have 9/13 chances of killing an innocent compared to the 4/13 of a mafia one. But if we don't lynch, and we wait for the first murder, then there will be 12 people, 4 mafia and 8 innocents. We have a better chance of finding a mafia not lynching anyone (4/13 < 4/12). Unless I'm missing something, in which case, feel free to correct me.



You know it deserves the GOTY.

Come join The 2018 Obscure Game Monthly Review Thread.

Darwinianevolution said:

Well, for now I have two options, neither of them really safe, but I suppose that's the game for you. One is avoid a first day lynch, but that doesn't mean the bad guys will be stopped, rather the opposite. On the other hand, if I point out someone to lynch, and that person is not lynched in the end, or if it's lynched and it turns out to be innocent, I'm just putting a target on my back.

Now my rudimentary math, please feel free to correct me if I'm wrong. I don't remember how many bad guys were exactly, lets just say 4. There are 13 playing now. So that leaves us with 4/13 mafia and 9/13 innocent townspeople. If we lynch someone now, we have 9/13 chances of killing an innocent compared to the 4/13 of a mafia one. But if we don't lynch, and we wait for the first murder, then there will be 12 people, 4 mafia and 8 innocents. We have a better chance of finding a mafia not lynching anyone (4/13 < 4/12). Unless I'm missing something, in which case, feel free to correct me.

yes, the per chance successrate is better - but the thing is that we get one more shot if we lynch today - as was pointed out.

What I really wanted is opinions on people though.



Final-Fan said:
Linkzmax said:
You decided that your current FoS wasn't worth a mention, and instead discussed the tangent of Survivor. It's bad vibe worthy.

I was enjoying prof's and your thoughts on the subject and didn't have a lot to add.  I guess I could have said so explicitly.  If anything I think I'm less enthusiastic about Stefl than you two are, but I'd prefer him to No Lynch. 

The only original thought I have is that everyone seems to be taking it at face value that Stefl's original response to prof's vote is amusement, but there's a possible alternative explanation that he was trying to play off worry as amusement.  Prof can be good at pushing lynches.  This is a pretty weak hypothesis, though, since it may not give Stefl as much credit as he probably deserves. 

Even if Stefl was actually worried and trying to play it off as amusement, it's a null tell. Nobody* wants to be lynched.

As for your other question, I would vote Stefl over Xander based on content. I don't like Xander signing up when posting so little each Day though.



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spurgeonryan said:
Xander was brought up, probably because I believe Final Fan does not know him. The guy has barely said anything and last game he was lynched for basically that very thing.

It is more likely a lurker who has said afew tthings to asee active. Don't you agree? So if that were the route, I would not do Xander. And this is not buddying him, just my opinion on the matter.

Xander was killed last game, not lynched. My choice if it came down to lynching a lurker would be Mr.Playstation. I don't have any town play to compare to, but last game he gave very little thought Day 1 while not being totally absent. His comment about stirring the pot in the wrong direction seems strange too considering the first two non-joke lynch trains yesterday were on both of the scum.

In fact, show yourself Mr.P!

Vote: Mr.Playstation



Darwinianevolution said:

Well, for now I have two options, neither of them really safe, but I suppose that's the game for you. One is avoid a first day lynch, but that doesn't mean the bad guys will be stopped, rather the opposite. On the other hand, if I point out someone to lynch, and that person is not lynched in the end, or if it's lynched and it turns out to be innocent, I'm just putting a target on my back. 

Is this a bit of roleplaying/flavor? If not, where'd you get the idea that you'll be a target if you're part of a mislynch?



Linkzmax said:
Darwinianevolution said:

Well, for now I have two options, neither of them really safe, but I suppose that's the game for you. One is avoid a first day lynch, but that doesn't mean the bad guys will be stopped, rather the opposite. On the other hand, if I point out someone to lynch, and that person is not lynched in the end, or if it's lynched and it turns out to be innocent, I'm just putting a target on my back. 

Is this a bit of roleplaying/flavor? If not, where'd you get the idea that you'll be a target if you're part of a mislynch?

Accusing someone and turning out to be innocent doesn't look good on you.



You know it deserves the GOTY.

Come join The 2018 Obscure Game Monthly Review Thread.

@Darwin
"I don't remember how many bad guys therewere exactly, but lets say 4"

I feel like there have been a LOT of comments saying it is likely 3 mafia as 4 would be rather powerful. Not sure if you just aren't paying attention or put no credibility to these. If the latter, I'd be inclined to believe you know something that led to you saying it in the manner that you did.

For that matter, I'm really losing my scum vibe on Stefl, so will be unvoting.

Unvote



Money can't buy happiness. Just video games, which make me happy.

Okay so out of the assumed three mafia members at least one of them is a pro otherwise it would be suicide. I'd bet on either axumblade or Stefl. Also getting scum vibes from Clyde32.



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