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Forums - Sony - PS3 is doomed!

I'm sorry but I think come Q4 Banjo could make a big difference. (not that that is the only game but rather the straw that broke.....) But I'm probably bias. Oh and did I say Gears 2.



"Back off, man. I'm a scientist."

Your theories are the worst kind of popular tripe, your methods are sloppy, and your conclusions are highly questionable! You are a poor scientist. Especially if you think the moon landing was faked.


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My problem with the PS3 passing the 360 this year is that in the first 8 weeks of this year the PS3 has made up ~430k WW. With 34 weeks until the end of October the PS3 will make up another ~1.83m at this rate from its current position leaving it still behind the 360 by about ~4.9m. Even if we double that and say it outsells it by 3.66m for the next 34 weeks its still behind by 3.06m.

So even with the unreasonable assumption that it will double the pace its on right now to catch up, this would still leave it too far behind the 360 to catch up during the holidays. Just to cement that a bit for you guys realize that the PS3 sold ~3.4m for all of Nov+Dec in '07. So if you think it can outsell the 360 by over 3m this holiday you're pretty much assuming the 360 won't be on sale this holiday...which of course is very very unlikely.

Sorry folks but the odds are very good that the PS3 is going to be spending the rest of '08 chasing the 360. Come '09 the PS3 will be able to make its run on 2nd place provided it can keep itself on the current track...which is likely.



To Each Man, Responsibility

This Patcher guy still gets paid... whose paying him?



Wii Code: 4819-7684-2396-4558

Sqrl said:
My problem with the PS3 passing the 360 this year is that in the first 8 weeks of this year the PS3 has made up ~430k WW. With 34 weeks until the end of October the PS3 will make up another ~1.83m at this rate from its current position leaving it still behind the 360 by about ~4.9m. Even if we double that and say it outsells it by 3.66m for the next 34 weeks its still behind by 3.06m.

So even with the unreasonable assumption that it will double the pace its on right now to catch up, this would still leave it too far behind the 360 to catch up during the holidays. Just to cement that a bit for you guys realize that the PS3 sold ~3.4m for all of Nov+Dec in '07. So if you think it can outsell the 360 by over 3m this holiday you're pretty much assuming the 360 won't be on sale this holiday...which of course is very very unlikely.

Sorry folks but the odds are very good that the PS3 is going to be spending the rest of '08 chasing the 360. Come '09 the PS3 will be able to make its run on 2nd place provided it can keep itself on the current track...which is likely.

If only you read the article carefully you'll notice that Pachter said PS3 will outsell 360 this year.

Thats this year only.

Not overall sales. 



alphagear said:
Sqrl said:


If only you read the article carefully you'll notice that Pachter said PS3 will outsell 360 this year.

Thats this year only.

Not overall sales.


Actually I did read the article, I was responding to others in the thread (ie 11ht11).



To Each Man, Responsibility
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insomniac17 said:

http://www.gamepro.com/news.cfm?article_id=167588

"Popular analyst Michael Pachter said the PS3 is poised for a comeback this year, when commenting on the ever popular console wars.

"By year-end, I think PS3 will outsell the 360 in the US by a little," Pachter told videogaming247 on Monday. "PS3 will likely outsell the 360 in Europe by 20-40 percent and will kill 360 in Japan."

It's unclear if Pachter was referring to a metaphoric "kill," or an actual kill that has Microsoft raising the white flag.

In any case, Japan has never been a contributing factor to Xbox 360 success worldwide, particularly in the U.S., where core gamers are spoiled with Western-based titles.

Regarding Wii, Pachter expects the little system that could to keep on trucking in 2008, outselling both Xbox 360 and PS3 the world over."

Well, its over now. It was a good run, but now that Pachter has spoken, the future of the PS3 is doomed.

 

lol, jk. I just want to hear if you all think this is plausible or not. I'm not sure about  the whole PS3 outselling the 360 in America, but it will dominate Japan, and its been doing very well in Europe/Others lately.

 

Doomed? Your posts mentions nothing about the Playstation 3 being doomed. In fact, it mentions that it's "poised for a comeback." It's not doomed. Change the title.

 



ps3 will reach 25 % marketshare by dec 31 08

ahaha random eh? on ps3 web browser!



a.l.e.x00 said:
insomniac17 said:

http://www.gamepro.com/news.cfm?article_id=167588

"Popular analyst Michael Pachter said the PS3 is poised for a comeback this year, when commenting on the ever popular console wars.

"By year-end, I think PS3 will outsell the 360 in the US by a little," Pachter told videogaming247 on Monday. "PS3 will likely outsell the 360 in Europe by 20-40 percent and will kill 360 in Japan."

It's unclear if Pachter was referring to a metaphoric "kill," or an actual kill that has Microsoft raising the white flag.

In any case, Japan has never been a contributing factor to Xbox 360 success worldwide, particularly in the U.S., where core gamers are spoiled with Western-based titles.

Regarding Wii, Pachter expects the little system that could to keep on trucking in 2008, outselling both Xbox 360 and PS3 the world over."

Well, its over now. It was a good run, but now that Pachter has spoken, the future of the PS3 is doomed.

 

lol, jk. I just want to hear if you all think this is plausible or not. I'm not sure about the whole PS3 outselling the 360 in America, but it will dominate Japan, and its been doing very well in Europe/Others lately.

 

Doomed? Your posts mentions nothing about the Playstation 3 being doomed. In fact, it mentions that it's "poised for a comeback." It's not doomed. Change the title.

 


 Yea well maybe you should fully read the post before commenting, like the part that says"lol,jk."



Auron said:
a.l.e.x00 said:
insomniac17 said:

http://www.gamepro.com/news.cfm?article_id=167588

"Popular analyst Michael Pachter said the PS3 is poised for a comeback this year, when commenting on the ever popular console wars.

"By year-end, I think PS3 will outsell the 360 in the US by a little," Pachter told videogaming247 on Monday. "PS3 will likely outsell the 360 in Europe by 20-40 percent and will kill 360 in Japan."

It's unclear if Pachter was referring to a metaphoric "kill," or an actual kill that has Microsoft raising the white flag.

In any case, Japan has never been a contributing factor to Xbox 360 success worldwide, particularly in the U.S., where core gamers are spoiled with Western-based titles.

Regarding Wii, Pachter expects the little system that could to keep on trucking in 2008, outselling both Xbox 360 and PS3 the world over."

Well, its over now. It was a good run, but now that Pachter has spoken, the future of the PS3 is doomed.

 

lol, jk. I just want to hear if you all think this is plausible or not. I'm not sure about the whole PS3 outselling the 360 in America, but it will dominate Japan, and its been doing very well in Europe/Others lately.

 

Doomed? Your posts mentions nothing about the Playstation 3 being doomed. In fact, it mentions that it's "poised for a comeback." It's not doomed. Change the title.

 


 Yea well maybe you should fully read the post before commenting, like the part that says"lol,jk."


That "analyst" is often quoted about video games despite the fact he isn't very accurate...I assume that's the irony meant by the topic thread...or the impending doom that the PS3 was supposedly facing last year. Either way works, but Pachter isn't the greatest mind.



This guy is clueless. Pure guesswork. I really wish I could work as an analyst, and get my money for free.