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Forums - Gaming - (EDIT: Nope, I'm wrong) I'm worried about another video game crash

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Will the video game market crash?

Yes! Prepare to take shelter! 10 12.82%
 
Probably, but it's a few years out. 20 25.64%
 
Maybe. It's hard to say right now. 22 28.21%
 
Unlikely, It won't crash for a while. 15 19.23%
 
Never! Video games are fine! 11 14.10%
 
Total:78
Roronaa_chan on 22 February 2015

I'm rooting for it to happen. It should crash and burn.



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Anfebious on 22 February 2015

I have to agree with you. When bubbles grow they explode. Once it's gone you can blow another one, provided you have water and soap.



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generic-user-1 on 22 February 2015
Ka-pi96 said:
vivster said:

The market is too big to crash. Even the biggest flops this generations sell in the millions. Smaller games are still viable and the market craves for games. People will not just stop buying games all of a sudden. They will just look harder for good games and it's not likely that people will just stop making good games. Again, the market is just too big, both on the consumer and producer side. There will always be enough products for any taste and enough consumers for a certain game.

This. Market is way too big for anything like that. I don't think we'll even see many more publishers leave, all the ones that had problems seem to already be gone (except the Japanese ones but they made their own problems so screw them). The main publishers left are all in very healthy positions and as well as console doing well PC gaming seems to be on the up once again as well.

EA is losing good selling IPs fast and ubi is losing the consumer trust.   if a AAA realy flops they are in trouble.  and the licenses will get way more expensive in the coming years, why? because they can ask more because of the growing market.   what happens if it gets normal to just buy just 1 fifa in 2 years, because the upgrades are to small for 60$? well than somebody is in deep shit.



chapset on 22 February 2015

I hope it does happen so I can buy Nintendo



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PieToast on 22 February 2015

I can understand if someone brought up the idea that bad business trends might shift the market into something different for better or worse. But a crash that is equal to the 1983 crash is not possible.



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Platina on 22 February 2015

I don't really think that it would really crash anytime soon...

Non-hardcore gamers are use to playing super repetitive, low quality games with very low budget (flappy bird, 2048, candy crush) These games basically hit or miss and could explode but die out relatively soon, where another will take its place. Meaning, since there are more non-hardcore gamers than hardcore gamers, more people are used to these types of games and will continue to play them. Of course, these games are Free 2 Play... but people are still willing to spend money on them!

For big dedicated game developers, there are many cases of released broken games that fans get angry about but that usually taints that brand's name rather than the whole industry so maybe if this continues for many cycles, the industry would crash, but probably won't anytime soon.



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vivster on 22 February 2015
Sentient_Nebula said:
This is exactly what I though people would say, saying the market is too big to crash.

Remember that in 1983, the market was also bigger than it had ever been.

No market is immune to crashes, no matter how big it is. It simply makes the process take longer.

Please don't compare a multimillion dollar market with a multibillion dollar market.

And how do you think a crash can happen "slowly"? If there is some kind of slow recession in the market, then it will adapt. I doubt the market could crash even if it wanted to. There are hundreds of millions of people in this world who will not live their lives without digital games. How can the market crash if there is so much demand?

That bold one is just completely wrong. There are several markets that can't crash because they provide necessities like food, clothing, transportation, internet, housing, etc. Video games are part of these necessities as are movies and music.



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Sentient_Nebula on 22 February 2015
PieToast said:

I can understand if someone brought up the idea that bad business trends might shift the market into something different for better or worse. But a crash that is equal to the 1983 crash is not possible.

Sure, these changes could happen without a crash, but I think that's unlikely. If the bad trends are profitable now, why should companies change them?

I also doubt we'll see a crash as large as the 1983 one. A 95% drop is insane. Regardless, I think a significant drop in revenue could occur. Even a 10% or 20% drop (within a short timespan) could be considered a crash.



"Never argue with stupid people. They will drag you down to their level and then beat you with experience."

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generic-user-1 on 22 February 2015
Ka-pi96 said:
generic-user-1 said:
Ka-pi96 said:

This. Market is way too big for anything like that. I don't think we'll even see many more publishers leave, all the ones that had problems seem to already be gone (except the Japanese ones but they made their own problems so screw them). The main publishers left are all in very healthy positions and as well as console doing well PC gaming seems to be on the up once again as well.

EA is losing good selling IPs fast and ubi is losing the consumer trust.   if a AAA realy flops they are in trouble.  and the licenses will get way more expensive in the coming years, why? because they can ask more because of the growing market.   what happens if it gets normal to just buy just 1 fifa in 2 years, because the upgrades are to small for 60$? well than somebody is in deep shit.

What good selling IPs have EA lost? If anything it looks like they are gaining more (Titanfall, Dragon Age) rather than losing them.

If it becomes normal to buy just 1 fifa every 2 years... EA will still make money. PES sell about 1/5 to 1/4 of what FIFA sell and they still make money, so I'm sure EA could make do with half the sales. Although I can't see that ever happening anyways.

they lost battlefield, they lost medal of honor, they lost the pc wing of EA allmost completly after some stupid shit.  Titanfall couldnt life up to the hype(i realy like the game but it will not be a stable succes) and dragon age isnt new and im realy not sure if it will sell more than the first.



the_real_dsister44 on 22 February 2015
vivster said:

Please don't compare a multimillion dollar market with a multibillion dollar market.

And how do you think a crash can happen "slowly"? If there is some kind of slow recession in the market, then it will adapt. I doubt the market could crash even if it wanted to. There are hundreds of millions of people in this world who will not live their lives without digital games. How can the market crash if there is so much demand?

That bold one is just completely wrong. There are several markets that can't crash because they provide necessities like food, clothing, transportation, internet, housing, etc. Video games are part of these necessities as are movies and music.


Yeah, not to mention with the consolidation there are several companies that are more or less too big to fail. Disney and Warne bros can stay in th eindustry till it dies.