HylianSwordsman said:
I'm not sure if you're a fan of gambits, but they tend to be dangerous. High risk, high reward. That's all I'll say on the matter.
I'm assuming you're talking about the FE scum thread conversation. I reread it and I think I know what you're referring to. Keeping an eye out. I might see something, but I want to wait to see if patterns form. I'm going to go ahead and trust you on this. If you do it as scum it would only backfire on you anyway.
As for comforting Clyde, well my thought was that if I got him too comfortable he might slip. I figured if he was guilty, if I made him think I was on his side he'd get comfortable and slip at some point. And if he was town, it would help town stay unified. I dunno, it made sense at the time. I've by no means given him a town read at this point. I don't really think it was enough to go off of, even if it was a slip, and like I said in the post, I don't want him to panic and look suspicious when he wasn't, and I thought there was a great chance he wasn't. So I just posted it so as to make a note of it for later, and make sure the rest of town was aware of it, while also hopefully either getting scum too comfortable around me or getting a townie to be unafraid to voice his questions and opinions.
Sounds like you're well aware of it though, so that's good, though I'm pretty sure it was you that made a similar slip at the beginning, not me. It was the huge back and forth conversation I couldn't stand to read where prof thought he'd caught you in a slip about day talk, and you countered that you'd seen it in the sign up thread. Regardless, I disagreed that it was a slip-up, because you HAD seen it in the sign-up thread, and were asking legitimate questions that any noob might ask. With Clyde's question, I just thought it was a really stupid question that he should have known the answer to or at least could have answered himself. I haven't completely written it off yet.
By the way, in your analysis of Clyde, could you say what you think the implications of his question are if he's scum? I'd think if he is scum asking that question, it might imply there isn't day talk for mafia, which means we should be looking for signs of coaching.
With Cone, I maintain that at first, when Smeags made the joke, Cone played along, and then he stopped playing along and jumped on Smeags for it. I explained in that post what I thought of Smeags' jokes. Do you agree with that analysis (deliberate tactic to get town talking and get reactions)? If you do, then look at the post I quoted where Cone jumps on Smeags. Can you see how I might be concerned? It seems like an inappropriate reaction to the joke. I might expect it from WhiteEagle who didn't get the joke in the first place, but not from Cone who actually played along. Cone also jumped on Eric over a joke. I know you said you don't trust Eric, but come on dude. Last game he was worse than WhiteEagle was in his first game. He didn't seem himself at all. It was like he could barely understand what was going on and was afraid to do anything. This game, he actually sounds like himself, and is keeping up with what's going on, he can dish out as much as he gets. The incredible personality shift simply isn't something you can coach. Apparently you think it could be, but I feel like there's been a psychological shift from one game to the next that simply can't be taught. I'm not saying he's confirmed town, but I would be very shocked if he could make that kind of improvement just from people telling him what to say. Remember, he had scum to talk to last game and it wasn't enough.
That said, I think the reason you're concerned about my analysis of Cone is that, first, he's the flat out most active poster in the thread as of your last post count. That definitely counts for something. And second, he's definitely doing investigations, that also counts for a LOT. My concern is that even scum can be active, however, just as you were your first game, and scum can definitely try to do investigations, as you did in the Fire Emblem game. The trick is to look at the investigations, to see what they're trying to influence. I'd hate to find out our most active poster is the enemy, but Cone went after two people for what was obviously pure joking. Recently, he criticized your Noctis investigation for going nowhere, but then immediately after says it's a good idea. That's precisely the kind of empty posts scum try to make. Doesn't really commit to anything. Makes him look like he cares when he doesn't. So I countered in a later post that if he has a problem with the investigation, he should do something about it, which I then in turn demonstrated to him. Alas, Noctis got off, but the point stands.
Keep in mind that these are just investigations. Their purpose is to follow leads, not to condemn or antagonize people. The only investigation I'm remotely confident about right now is Astro. I'm just doing the responsible thing and following leads that I think have some logic to them. Just as you disagreed with my analysis of Cone, I disagree with his reasoning for going after the people that he did. I'm not just lashing out mindlessly. I hope you'll at least consider my ideas on Cone, though for now I have a null read on him. I'd like to hear exactly why you disagree so strongly with my analysis of him, though. I may have overlooked something, so I'm open to criticism.
As for Noctis, his defense was nitpicky. He had done one more post since the start of the day, big deal. Your point still stands, he's inactive. But for now, I think it's best to just see if he improves. Like I said, if his work excuse is true, it will make itself evident. The nitpicky nature of it does make him seem potentially too defensive, but at the same time, it could be seen as you, as he put it, "grasping at straws". I'm reserving judgment for now to see what he does. You've certainly backed him into a corner here. He has to be more active now or he incriminates himself. The bottom line is his entire activity can be summed up as checking in, claiming he's working, and saying that he's not really that inactive and it's just work that was holding him back. I say we give him a day or two, see if the same description doesn't hold true then.
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