johnlucas said:
BHR-3 said:
johnlucas said:
Excellent technical rundown by nin10do in this thread. Good job, nin10do. He has privately told me about Wii U's Efficient Power. It all points to what I said about Nintendo giving you HD visuals when HD was affordable. When it could be done in a way that doesn't wreck game development budgets. All the Pretty Pretty without so much of the Penny Penny.
Now from the Science to the Art...
I quote JoeTheBro's post about Super Mario 3D World screenshots to underline Wii U's awakening. Remember, Nintendo is so confident in this title that it's launching it DIRECTLY AGAINST the XBox One's launch in the United States. Both launch on Black Friday itself, the day after Thanksgiving.
November 22nd.
Both the PlayStation 4 & the XBox One will have launch hype. But it takes much more than launch hype to win a generation. Super Mario 3D World (& Wii Party U in Japan) will be the jet engine that propels Wii U forward to its coming domination. Wii U's performance in 2014 will be totally unrecognizable to its performance in 2013. All the Nintendo Is Doomed talk will look hopelessly out of place.
Someone in this forum named Seece has been unceasing in asking me what I expect Wii U's U.S. sales to be for November & December. I'll do him one better. I'll give my estimates for all major markets. This one's for you Seece.
United States/Americas November - 500,000 minimum (U.S. alone) / 750,000 minimum (all Americas combined) December - 1,000,000 minimum (U.S. alone) / 1,350,000 minimum (all Americas combined)
Japan November - 350,000 minimum December - 900,000 minimum
Europe/Australia/Rest of World November - 500,000 minimum (Europe) / 600,000 minimum (Europe/Australia) / 650,000 minimum (Eur/Aus/World combined) December - 1,000,000 minimum (Europe) / 1,200,000 minimum (Europe/Australia) / 1,300,000 minimum (Eur/Aus/World combined)
The Beast Awakens this holiday season. Prepare for it. John Lucas
|
so 5.3M for Nov-Dec plus 3.5M that we have now = 8.8M wheres 12M before 2014 from OP do you believe 3.2M for Nov or has the forcast changed, as of right now i believe 7-8M range WW before 2014 begins
|
Don't forget that October is a month too. And remember I said MINIMUM. It could very well be that my November & December estimates are too LOW.
Before I bought my Wii U this August, I noticed that Wii U's stayed pretty motionless on the shelves in my local Wal-Mart. Took a long time to move. Games too. Pretty much always there it seemed. As September rolled in & Nintendo had that Wind Waker HD combo with the price drop, I noticed that Wii U's were hardly on the shelves at all anymore. I saw a Wii U in the layaway section & said to myself "it begins".
I STILL haven't seen The Wonderful 101 on the shelves in 3 weeks! A friend of mine who's planning to get a PS4 recently bought a Wii U for his "daughter" he says. Oh sure, it's for his daughter but I bet money he's playing it with her too. Certain Wii U games are selling out & I don't seem them being refreshed on the shelves leaving that gaping hole in the shelves of games. In my area at least, Nintendo stuff is selling. Even the old Wiis are selling. 3DS, Wii U, it's moving now.
What I see happening is Wii Party U lighting a fire under Japan alongside Super Mario 3D World. I might have undercut Japan's numbers too much but I'll keep them right there. Europe's gonna be tricky with retailers ridiculously trying to take Wii U's out of their stores in the UK (they didn't do the same to Vita, did they?). But while UK is the biggest of the European territories it's not the only one. I expect France, Spain, Portugal, Italy, Germany, Switzerland, Netherlands, Belgium, & all the rest to lift Wii U up where UK may give them trouble. Australia will give its little kick to this total along with the miscellaneous regions of the world.
The U.S. is the lynchpin of the Americas of course but Canada & Mexico will pad those numbers with their contributions. Nintendo will REALLY hit their stride with Wii U once they start opening up to more world markets. With its focus on commUNITY built directly into the console, the international flavor can draw more people to the system. It was already cool how you could play Mario Kart Wii with somebody from Argentina, Japan, Brazil, Australia, Russia, South Africa, Greece, Mexico, UK, France, Spain, Netherlands, Germany, Italy... ...but now you have the choice to interact with them on a much more intimate level.
The true power of the internet in the console done in such an intergrated familial way. It starts slow but builds more & more rapidly with each new purchase. The console will work on an exponential basis. It will go further than Wii because of its improved network design.
2013 is just the beginning. 2014 is REALLY the year Wii U starts to kill the doubters' misinformed notions. Super Smash Bros. is just one of many for that year that will wreck minds.
I hold to my calls made in the very first post in this thread. I call for 12 million Wii U's sold by the end of 2013. 35 million Wii U's sold by the end of 2014. 60 million Wii U's sold by the end of 2015. And lifetime total of 240 million Wii U's sold.
No change in my predictions.
John Lucas
|