DarkThanatos said:
mantlepiecek said:
Why would he suspect zero is one and someone else is on another? He was using statistics, it was pure mathematics without inclusion of feelings about other players who were pushing for zero.
He said it is possible that someone is scum from the 4 who pushed zero - after saying he is suspicious of zero. To me that means he thought there are 2 scum teams before this. But how and why?
Him saying he doesn't know how 3rd party players play is really really weird in my eyes, since he did say that ninetails could be sk who changed his PM during day 1.
I specifically asked him how is it that he thinks a scum player will try and push suspicion on his teammate on day 1 - to which he replied it could be possible that there is 3 + 3 scum or an SK trying to mislynch. That is about as far-fetched as anything. He had obviously not thought much about it.
He then later said that 3 + 3 scum theory is just a theory. But why make that theory? And then to accept it as truth, and use it along with statistics for supporting zero's claim that there is one scum pushing for zero out of 4?
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Quote me where I said I suspected Zero was scum. Your entire case is based around that I suspected Zero beforehand, and I don't recall saying any such thing.
Statistics is a useful tool. You are making it sound like I used purely statistics and was certain from it. Forgive me if i am mistaken (I'm not) but you even said yourself "From my calculations I would suspect the scum team to consist of DarkThanatos, Haxton and Tabaha" I even said specifically it was a weak case against the 4 players, just that it was stronger then the flavour hunters. I then voted Yoshiya out of those four players because of his other points, and guess who is now nipping at my heels like a wounded dog...
You specifically asked me... You are indeed correct. You asked me a question, and I answered how my theory would still work under your conditions. IT STILL MAKES LOGICAL SENSE.
It is just a theory. I did not say it was a fact. and why make a theory? Why make a suspicion? Why voice your scumspect? Why do anything?
MANTLE. YOU USE YOUR BEST GUESS AS SUPPORTING FOR EVERYTHING YOU DO. It was my best guess as to the situation, and I still maintain that opinion. It would make sense if i was to use my thoughts to support my accusation's don't you think?
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I have replied to the first part.
As far as statistics being a useful tool, you aren't even using them properly. Yes it helps, but you didn't even use it properly. When I said "From my calculations" I was not referring to any mathematical calculations. Haxton didn't come into my suspect list till he voted NT.
Yeah, it was a weak case against 4 players but I never said you used it as a case against them.
Yes, your generalized answer makes no sense to me DT. How can it work the same both ways?
Why make a theory when you have no information about it? Actually no one even cares to make theories during day 1 other than the usual "Oh we have 15 players so it is possible we have 4 scum/3 town and 1 sk " theories. You instead made a theory out of thin air, and supported zero.
Your guess for making that theory was that you thought large games will always have more than one scum faction. To me it felt like justification more than a reason.