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Forums - Sales Discussion - NPD January: X360 #1 270k, 49% share, PS3 > Wii = 281k Combined

As a 360 fan, I want to suggest all other 360 fans on this site just letting the topic of "who won 2011" go. Definately, 2011 was the most exciting year for us because MS was the only manufacturer from the big 3 to have a successful year based on:

1. Console shipment: Worldwide number 1 in a calendar year;
2. Retail sales: On par with PS3 in the biggest 3 regions in a calendar year according to NPD, GFK and MC;
3. Reveune and Profits: No need to explain.

So, is it still necessary to argue who won 2011? For me, the answer is quite obvious.



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Hyruken said:
ethomaz said:

Hyruken said:

Ok you say those numbers are facts so you should have no problem proving them with sources that are not from vgc?

NPD for US, Nintendo (GFK) for Europe and MC for Japan... all the three tracking services are in line with VGC numbers... GFK Australia showed accuracy with VGC number too.

Nos just expect the Q3 shipment from Microsoft to confirm the overshipped issue.

Thanks.


At least you bother to mention the sources.

But without wanting this thread to go round and round and round you said "all three tracking services are in line with VGC".

How can you say that about NPD?

For december we had 360 at 2.8m. NPD had it at 1.6m. That is a difference of 1.2m. Or 42%.

Wii at 1.7m and NPD had it at 1m. That is a difference of 700k or 41%.

PS3 at 1.25m and NPD had it at 940k. That is a difference of 310k or 25%

3DS at 2.035m  and NPD had it at 1.6m. That is a difference of around 400k etc etc

You could do the same for last months and you would see a similar picture.

SOme of them might be in line (in truth I have not checked so will take your word) but NPD isn't in line.

Which strengthens my point that if your basing your own theory of who won 2011 on vgc numbers then what is to say it isn't out by a lot? Because based on the last two NPD's they are all major over-tracked. Which makes it even harder to determine how much is on shelves in those territories. As I said before there is no real way to determine who won accuratly. And BUSINESS' use shipments as the main sales measurement.

*face palm* VGC has already adjusted the numbers from NPD so they are already in line, not over or under tracked, there is no massive difference.

Can you possibly comprehend that it's not just Vgchartz numbers vs shipped numbers, it's EVERYBODY'S numbers vs shipped numbers. That's NPD, Media Create, Famitsu, GFK and Nintendo's own internal tracking system. They ALL show a huge difference between what Microsoft shipped and what Microsoft sold. And on top of that to put this in some perspective for you, as things stand using these numbers it shows that in total for 2010 Microsoft shipped 12.1 million consoles, however they ended up selling 13,378,231 consoles to consumers that year, Microsoft and retailers made a big mistake and undershipped for 2010 with the majority of that happening in Oct-Dec and it ate into their supply of consoles in the retail chain almost causing a sell out. To make up for this Microsoft had to replenish the retail chain by overshipping in 2011 and they shipped 14.9 million whilst selling 13,422,253.

When you combine the two years worth of sales you get 27 million shipped and 26,800,484 sold, which works out perfectly. Microsoft undershipped in 2010 and had to balance it out by overshipping in 2011.

For Microsoft to have outsold Sony in 2011 that means they would have had to have sold 600,000~ more xbox360's which in turn would mean that for the past two years Microsoft would have sold 400,000~ more consoles then they actually shipped........... sure that's logical lol.



DirtyP2002 said:
thismeintiel said:
Hyruken said:


I think it is best to just ignore what they are saying to be honest because it is based on assumptions and no actual facts.

To put it into some kind of perspective they think Q1 numbers should be the same as they were 12 months ago pretty much. If the numbers are less = MS stuffed channeks and lost 2011.

But yet fail to mention what had been released a few weeks prior to that Q (Kinect). So to expect Q1 numbers to be on par with the early Kinect numbers is just stupid. There is no way on earth that MS will have the same Q results as that of 12 months ago.The numbers will be down loads.

While they are quick to point out the possibility of MS over-shipping the 360 they fail to mention that by that logic the PS3 has probably been heavily over shipped too. Especially if you take into account Sony just dropped their estimates by 10% on PS3 sales.

I think as others have obviously made clear in this thread just because these guys are more active in using this site doesn't make what they say right.

Alright, this is the last time I'm derailing this thread or even mentioning this in any other thread besides mine, cause the denial is just getting sad.  Fact 1: MS usually has ~2 million in the channel at the end of the year and usually ships ~1.5 million in Q1 of any givien year.  Fact 2: MS didn't have enough stock in the channel at the end of 2010 so they had to ship ~1-1.3 million extra units in Q1 2011 (shipments were 2.7 million for that quarter), thus inflating their shipment numbers by that same number.  Without those extra units, MS would have only shipped ~13.6-13.9 million units in 2011, making it ~200K-500K behind the PS3 in shipments for the year.  Now, you can choose to ignore those simple facts if you wish, but it really will only make you look foolish.

when you google "Microsoft overshipping xbox" and click on pictures, you find your signature at no. 5 spot. Tells you something, doesn't it? :D

Oh, you googled to find me?  How flattering. 

Fun fact that I just found out, though.  If you Google just "Microsoft overshipping," my thread is #3.  Google loves me. 



cookingyourmama said:
ZaneWane said:
dont know why some are derailing but it well known fact xbox was best selling console last year

Why do you keep coming into these threads spreading FUD? It's already been proven that you're wrong, so stop with the lies please it's getting very sad and old.

says it right here  http://blogs.technet.com/b/microsoft_blog/archive/2012/02/09/xbox-360-maintains-lead-in-u-s-console-market-in-january-ends-2011-as-no-1-console-worldwide.aspx 



ZaneWane said:
cookingyourmama said:
ZaneWane said:
dont know why some are derailing but it well known fact xbox was best selling console last year

Why do you keep coming into these threads spreading FUD? It's already been proven that you're wrong, so stop with the lies please it's getting very sad and old.

says it right here  http://blogs.technet.com/b/microsoft_blog/archive/2012/02/09/xbox-360-maintains-lead-in-u-s-console-market-in-january-ends-2011-as-no-1-console-worldwide.aspx 

Errrr, nope. That is again saying Microsoft SHIPPED the most, not sold the most.



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I don't think people will be able to let go of this one. Honestly, barring the fact that this discussion is derailing every single thread it comes up in, I find it extremely entertaining. The forums are back.



cookingyourmama said:
ZaneWane said:
cookingyourmama said:
ZaneWane said:
dont know why some are derailing but it well known fact xbox was best selling console last year

Why do you keep coming into these threads spreading FUD? It's already been proven that you're wrong, so stop with the lies please it's getting very sad and old.

says it right here  http://blogs.technet.com/b/microsoft_blog/archive/2012/02/09/xbox-360-maintains-lead-in-u-s-console-market-in-january-ends-2011-as-no-1-console-worldwide.aspx 

Errrr, nope. That is again saying Microsoft SHIPPED the most, not sold the most.

You really want to argue with someone who thinks Crysis 2 is the best looking game on consoles quoting five sources that use vague words o.O



Crysis 2 is awesome.



reviniente said:
Crysis 2 is awesome.

Not my kind of game... I prefer the Crysis original or the Far Cry original but yeah the game is awesome for some people... not the best looking game in consoles or PC (anyway the Crisis original looks way better on PC and I can list some games better on consoles too even on 360).



I think I preferred the PS3 believe crowd