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Forums - Gaming - Sony Encouraged By 3DS Sales

theprof00 said:
Khuutra said:


You continue to pretend that I am saying thigns that I am not actually saying.

It's true that Nintendo software did best on the DS, though I had hoped that that would go without saying. It should also be pointed out, however, that no platform exists in a vacuum, and we have never seen a handheld live or die based on Western development. We have no reason to assume that the Vita will either.

I never claimed that western games will not appeal to the West.

Saying "THis is how it is" over and over does not constitute an argument.

Khuutra, I'm going to start over because I know you are good at debating, and most of this has just been picking apart semantics.

Let me see if I understand your point perfectly. Western support has never been a huge impact on handheld devices, and furthermore Nintendo itself has shown that a handheld can be successful even when devoid of western support.

Is that correct?

OK. The only way I can take that statement seriously is if you believe that western dev will not have a significant impact, or possibly, that strong western support leading to success will be novel to the industry.I had assumed that you meant the former, but you just said that you never claimed western games will not appeal in the West. So, can I assume the latter?

In order to further this discussion, we need to continue to follow the ends of the logic. I'm sorry that I'm jumping ahead, but that's how I think things through, sometimes several steps ahead of what has been established.

To address the most basic implication of your logic, the amount of popularity in the west was proportional to the amount of popular western games. There is already a hole in your logic. Thereby, the only points you could possibly have is the actual weight of "significance" in reference to western support, (as the support itself has shown proportional), and that Nintendo survives without support.

To address the "weight", then I point you to the popularity of genre and franchise over others. Western support has shown proportion to how well the console is received thereby, but to what degree has the proportionality been tested? Well, a handheld has never received the support of the most popular genre in a way that the fans of the genre have grown accustomed to. DS received CoD, but it was a far cry from what the game was on console. So, yes, this may be a new test, and it may be unsupported on handhelds per se, but simply saying that it is unsupported is not a very good argument either. Western games have shown to have an effect on the reception of the platform in the west. If the proportionality simply maintains standing, then the most popular western game should garner the most reception for the platform in the west.

You can have your vaporware argument for now, but it won't be long until that obstacle falls away, and then you're going to have to address it.

Lastly, the point about Nintendo succeeding without western dev does not in any way affect the impact of western games on console adoption. Nintendo only needs Nintendo. Really no other Japanese game makes it in the west on DS, and the same goes for psp (outside of squeenix). That in itself should be clear to you that in order to be successful, Vita needs something capable of selling in the west that isn't nintendo. Japanese games won't move many vitas in the west.

The top psp games in PAL are GTA, GTA, GT, medal of honor, call of duty, namco games, and SCE games.
The top games in America are roughly the same, with football in palce of soccer.
The top games in Japan are monster hunter, metal gear, squeenix, jrpgs.

It's not that hard to figure out. psps moderate success in the west was based on the moderate library of western games, not Japanese games.

The new genres that vita is going to be able to hit, (dual analog fps, for example) the most popular genre in the west, should boost sales accordingly.
Just look at GTA for an example. GTA is one of the highest selling games on western consoles, and it was proportionally the higher selling games on psp.
The hgihest selling franchise should equal best sales on vita in the west.


Hm, no. Sorry. The "implication" you're drawing isn't based on a logical train, it's a simple observation: no handheld console has ever lived or died based on Western support. PSP's library feels Western if you look at the top ten or twenty in any given Western territory, but that doesn't really give the whole picture either. Similarly, you're not going to get an accurate impression of the DS's software library movement from looking at the top 50 games.

I do want to point out that you claimed earlier in the topic that the Vita was receiving Western support, which the PSP apparently never got. I can only assume you have recanted that idea.

You have not presented anything indicating that " the amount of popularity in the west was proportional to the amount of popular western games". If anything, you've indicated exactly the opposite, obfuscated by handwaving away Nintendo games as being, well, Nintendo games.

And no, "It is primarily unsupported" is not a weak argument, it's a statement of fact. Western support - including franchises which already existed on the PSP - cannot reasonably be assumed to propel Vita above the PSP, which is the original statement I was replying to. That is the long and short of my statement - your assumptions have no concrete basis, and your argument does not either. Do not get so far off-track.

@makingmusic:

Lay off ma words or I'll flatten you.



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BasilZero said:
Khuutra said:


Hm, no. Sorry. The "implication" you're drawing isn't based on a logical train, it's a simple observation: no handheld console has ever lived or died based on Western support. PSP's library feels Western if you look at the top ten or twenty in any given Western territory, but that doesn't really give the whole picture either. Similarly, you're not going to get an accurate impression of the DS's software library movement from looking at the top 50 games.

I do want to point out that you claimed earlier in the topic that the Vita was receiving Western support, which the PSP apparently never got. I can only assume you have recanted that idea.

You have not presented anything indicating that " the amount of popularity in the west was proportional to the amount of popular western games". If anything, you've indicated exactly the opposite, obfuscated by handwaving away Nintendo games as being, well, Nintendo games.

And no, "It is primarily unsupported" is not a weak argument, it's a statement of fact. Western support - including franchises which already existed on the PSP - cannot reasonably be assumed to propel Vita above the PSP, which is the original statement I was replying to. That is the long and short of my statement - your assumptions have no concrete basis, and your argument does not either. Do not get so far off-track.

@makingmusic:

Lay off ma words or I'll flatten you.


The N-Gage proves otherwise on the bolded!


Well, you definitely got me based on that wording, but what I meant was "no handheld console has lived or died based on a lack of Western support"



megaman79 said:
Roma said:
megaman79 said:
Remember when Sony said they wanted to work with Nintendo by introducing 3D Gaming to the masses?

And then they kicked the shit out of them a week later?

Oh Sony

when was that? do you have a link?


http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/news/23593

http://www.escapistmagazine.com/news/view/101832-Sony-to-Nintendo-Leave-Our-3D-Glasses-Alone

The comments section made me laugh in that Nintendo World article. Especially that individual that stated the 3D on the 3DS is better than on 3D TVs and theater projection. I'd love to have his 3DS then since my one seems to project mediocre 3D effects in comparison to my LG Cinema ready 3D tv. Not to mention It won't have an inexcusably poor viewing angle. It's amazing how many delusional fanboys exist out there.

Also mind showing me where specifically in the article Sony bad mouths Nintendo, because all I'm seeing is Sony being upset by Nintendo's implications in regards to 3D competitors' technology.



theprof00 said:

low hardware doesn't result in low game sales exactly. Not enough games results in low hardware. Again, thankfully the vita will not have this problem as every major western developer is behind it.


I refuse to believe that you fail to recognize this particular bit of rhetoric.



Also i'd like to add in regards to the Japanese sales. They make no sense, unless the PSP had a MH launch title in japan I wasn't aware of, the PSP had a mediocre library in comparison to the Vita at the same time. Not to mention the prices were about the same weren't they? The Vita's sales are anomalous in relation to the PSP's legs.



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Panama said:
Also i'd like to add in regards to the Japanese sales. They make no sense, unless the PSP had a MH launch title in japan I wasn't aware of, the PSP had a mediocre library in comparison to the Vita at the same time. Not to mention the prices were about the same weren't they? The Vita's sales are anomalous in relation to the PSP's legs.


The Vita is at a greater disadvantage due to competition. The PSP and DS launched at about the same time, with similarly crappy libraries, and it took (relatively) forever for the DS to get a foothold with killer software.

The Vita has launched just in time to slam into the 3DS hitting its stride with three extremelyt large properties landing in close proximity to each other. PSP and DS were slow out of the gate; the Vita, by virtue of being late, is up against a much tougher, more entrenched opponent than its predecessor.



Khuutra said:


Hm, no. Sorry. The "implication" you're drawing isn't based on a logical train, it's a simple observation: no handheld console has ever lived or died based on Western support. PSP's library feels Western if you look at the top ten or twenty in any given Western territory, but that doesn't really give the whole picture either. Similarly, you're not going to get an accurate impression of the DS's software library movement from looking at the top 50 games.

I do want to point out that you claimed earlier in the topic that the Vita was receiving Western support, which the PSP apparently never got. I can only assume you have recanted that idea.

You have not presented anything indicating that " the amount of popularity in the west was proportional to the amount of popular western games". If anything, you've indicated exactly the opposite, obfuscated by handwaving away Nintendo games as being, well, Nintendo games.

And no, "It is primarily unsupported" is not a weak argument, it's a statement of fact. Western support - including franchises which already existed on the PSP - cannot reasonably be assumed to propel Vita above the PSP, which is the original statement I was replying to. That is the long and short of my statement - your assumptions have no concrete basis, and your argument does not either. Do not get so far off-track.

@makingmusic:

Lay off ma words or I'll flatten you.

It's not so mucha simple observation as it is a simplistic one. Please explain the first paragraph. How does one not get a good impression of what sells on a sytem given the top selling games in the territory?

I didn't mean so much that the psp never had western support,but that the western support was so minimal compared to what vita is receiving. Even in comparison to the home consoles, it never received a shred. Comparitively to both what the home consoles got, and what vita is receiving, psp didn't get supported by the west.

There are roughly 20m sales in each territory for psp. DS is 50m in NA and europe and 32 in japan. Obviously there is a problem in the west with psp. DS sales in comparison to Japan is roughly 56% higher in other territories. Looking at the top sellers for psp in western markets, the highest selling game is 2.56-2.66m. The highest in Japan is 4.66, a 75% difference. So interesting how a "successful handheld", like ds, should do 56% better in the west, and how the top selling DS game in Japans 6.3m vs PALs 10m vs  and Americas 8.3m, 63% and 75% respectively.

DS having consistently highesr sales of 50-60 percent in the west on both consoles and games, and psp's flatline of sales across regions means that there is a ratio of proportionality to population. This means that psp doesn't hit enough demographics in the west, likely due to a lack of popular genre titles.

The highest selling fps on ps3 is 5m, and the highest selling GTA is 3.6, a nearly 40% difference, which will continue to grow as BlOPs is still selling.

So, we have a system that should be performing roughly 50% better in the west, missing titles that deliver 40% better sales on consoles in the west than titles found on both platforms.



Khuutra said:
theprof00 said:

low hardware doesn't result in low game sales exactly. Not enough games results in low hardware. Again, thankfully the vita will not have this problem as every major western developer is behind it.


I refuse to believe that you fail to recognize this particular bit of rhetoric.

See, you just don't say anything concrete. Try saying something, then we'll talk.



theprof00 said:

It's not so mucha simple observation as it is a simplistic one. Please explain the first paragraph. How does one not get a good impression of what sells on a sytem given the top selling games in the territory?

I didn't mean so much that the psp never had western support,but that the western support was so minimal compared to what vita is receiving. Even in comparison to the home consoles, it never received a shred. Comparitively to both what the home consoles got, and what vita is receiving, psp didn't get supported by the west.

There are roughly 20m sales in each territory for psp. DS is 50m in NA and europe and 32 in japan. Obviously there is a problem in the west with psp. DS sales in comparison to Japan is roughly 56% higher in other territories. Looking at the top sellers for psp in western markets, the highest selling game is 2.56-2.66m. The highest in Japan is 4.66, a 75% difference. So interesting how a "successful handheld", like ds, should do 56% better in the west, and how the top selling DS game in Japans 6.3m vs PALs 10m vs  and Americas 8.3m, 63% and 75% respectively.

DS having consistently highesr sales of 50-60 percent in the west on both consoles and games, and psp's flatline of sales across regions means that there is a ratio of proportionality to population. This means that psp doesn't hit enough demographics in the west, likely due to a lack of popular genre titles.

The highest selling fps on ps3 is 5m, and the highest selling GTA is 3.6, a nearly 40% difference, which will continue to grow as BlOPs is still selling.

So, we have a system that should be performing roughly 50% better in the west, missing titles that deliver 40% better sales on consoles in the west than titles found on both platforms.

Chart-toppers provide a disproportionate view of the software landscape because it doesn't show the dozens and hundreds of games that make up the hundreds of millions of software purchases that constitute the majority of sales.

Now we're getting somewhere interesting. Yes, there is a demographic problem here, but you're making two assumptions: one, that the PSP is disproportionately low in the West rather than being disproportionately high in Japan, and that the PSP's consumer ennui is only coming from its own library, rather than ennui stemming from its competition.

I see no particular reason to believe that the anomaly with the PSP's East/West appeal lies in the West; rather, I see it in Japan, where the PSP's unusual level of popularity has been sustained for a while now. DS games in Japan and DS games in the West, near the top of the charts, are roughly the same: as you said before, Nintendo is Nintendo is Nintendo, and while there is a dichotomy for certain title appeal based on region (the Americas love Ben 10, EU loves Layton, Japan loves Beat Train Lolicon) we can see through analyzing hardware trends that Nintendo software is the primary hardware driver of the DS. Now that's not the case for the PSP, obviously, and the "minor" titles on DS are the majorest titles for the PSP. Now obviously there's Monster Hunter and certain other Japanese properties that drive in Japan, but we also see that these same titles do not have the universal appeal that Nintendo games do.

Let's pretend, then, that the PSP needs Western titles - something beyond the Gods of War, the Calls of Duty, and the Grand Theft Autos in order to support itself. But then, on the same token, we also have to acknowledge that it did get those titles, and in some cases they sold rather well - GTA Liberty City Stories, off the top of my head, has an attach rate of almost 10% while selling little or nothing in Japan. So obviously PSP owners were buying these games. So what happened?

Competition happened. See, PSP was fighting a battle on two fronts: it had to compete for the handheld buyer while at the same time establishing its own identity as a console replacement. Therein lies the real problem of the PSP, and I think it's going to end up being the real problem of the Vita.

When it comes to the handheld experience, nobody is going to match Nintendo within the context of dedicated handheld consoles. It's not even really worth it to try, and would require the iOS platform to begin to come close (at which point you're no longer a dedicated handheld console anyway). Hell, Sony seems to have given up on trying. You seem to assume that they have given up, and have repeated (often and vehemently) that it will be the console-style games that will really push Vita beyond what the PSP had.

But will it?

The problem with console-style games is that you are no longer competing against other handhelds, you are competing with consoles that get connected to TVs. Now obviously you believe that the Call of Duty gamer will see Call of Duty on the go and say, "Sweet! Call of Duty on the go! Gonna get me a piece of that!" After all, this is the first time a handheld would ever be able to really muster a facsimile of the console experience. You've got your joysticks, your ED screen, touch controls, some other things. What's stopping it?

I'll tell you what will be stopping it: the Xbox 360, the PS3, and their successors. People who want console-style games are going to want the best experiences possible, and in spite of everything it provides the Vita is not going to be able to deliver on that point.

Now I could be wrong, of course. Time is going to tell.

But it's just one more reason that Sony shouldn't be made more confident by the sales of the 3DS.



theprof00 said:
z101 said:
theprof00 said:

The new genres that vita is going to be able to hit, (dual analog fps, for example) the most popular genre in the west, should boost sales accordingly.
Just look at GTA for an example. GTA is one of the highest selling games on western consoles, and it was proportionally the higher selling games on psp.
The hgihest selling franchise should equal best sales on vita in the west.


The 3DS will get GTA and other some Shooter too, but shooter aren't very popular on Handhelds.

The PSP got western games but the low hardware sales here results in low game sales and in the end no more western games. The vita will have even lower sales because of a big 3DS and smartphones/tablets.

shooters aren't possible on handhelds because the control style that people are used to on the consoles is not readily available on every handheld that's ever been out. Vita thankfully doesn't have that problem.

low hardware doesn't result in low game sales exactly. Not enough games results in low hardware. Again, thankfully the vita will not have this problem as every major western developer is behind it.

Previously these companies had nothing to put on the psp, thereby resulting in less sales for the console, and thereby less overall sales for other games. But Vita is capable of running these types of games that a lot of western devs make.

A console needs games to sell.

Neither does the 3DS based of off that video we just saw. Or are you going to ignore that?



    R.I.P Mr Iwata :'(