CrazzyMan said: future? LOL. =)) only sony may know a little about ps3 future. They send to UK 220k console, which were sold in 3 weeks + some left, as they predicted. :) Who of you know, how many peopel will buy Killzone2? and how many of them ps3 because only of that game, which is 100% exclusive, not like geow, which will be on pc. Maybe 5 mln. will be sold? =)) Or even 15? who knows? maybe you? just sit and wait, future will come to us. =) |
Killzone 2, wtf. Since when is this a system seller. Let's see released in Nov 2004 (NA) at 129,500 and was outsold by 19 other ps2 games, 8 of which were also new releases. Including the freakin' Incredibles. By March 2005 it wasn't even in the top 200 game list. Incredibles was at #43. I hate the arguement that Killzone 2 is going to be some great game. Why should it be, Killzone one sucked. It is nowhere near halo or gears of war levels.
PS3's future is done. No system has started with at 1/2 the sales of its competitor 6 mos in and came back to take the lead. Wii will catch 360 this year and will then start the historically proven cycle of large userbase => more dev support => more games => increasing user base => repeat. It has been the same in every generation and there is no reason to see it change. The supreme power of the ps3 or 360 will not make a factor just as it did not help the Genesis beat the NES or SNES or the N64 beat the ps1 or xbox/gc beat the ps2. Hell it didn't help any competitor beat any Nintendo handheld game system which was always technically inferior to its competitors. The only reason any system ever wins is it has the largest userbase fairly quickly and is relatively nice to devs.
By the end of 1996, the year N64 launched, it was still 800k less in hardware sales. I would say this is pretty damn good and completely makes up for the 2 year head start of the ps1. By 1997 it was 2m behind in hardware and 16m ahead in software. The power of Nintendo's name and obvious software sales still did not help. It was doomed to be second in the long run. These are only the numbers for NA where N64 had a better userbase. In Japan N64 was never even close.
To me, this scenario is exactly happening here with the Wii and PS3. It will be the same results, Wii will continue to be 2x the sales of PS3 World Wide for 2007 and gain a huge lead over PS3. With the complete failure of 360 in Japan, PS3 will ultimately catch the 360 as well. Thus, this gen will be Wii, PS3, 360.