I guess your logic is you know so logical!
I mean after 2 years its already 16 million, it couldnt possible get 8 million in 3 years.
..........

Wii and PS3 will really ramp up in 08 in terms of the quality and quantity of software, if Nintendo sorts out supply and sony sorts out some sort of marketing and keeps that price low then they will be the two top sellers from now on. The 360 has fired all its cannons and now its got no balls left. You forget it had first mover advantage and its not even at 16 million, vgchartz currently has it at 14 million +, so i think it wont sell more than the original xbox. Even if it does it will be by a small amount like 2-3 million. And there is more chance of masterchief appearing in animal crossing than there is of the 360 breaking the 30 million barrier. Btw dont start flaming me, i own a 360 but that doesn't mean i'm blind loyal to the system.

Dalek - welcome to the site.

However, you are incredibly, vastly, far, off on your idea of Xbox 360 sales.

The Xbox #1 sold for 4 years, and Microsoft stopped producing it entirely.
The Xbox 360, in 26 months (end of December) will of reached 16m - 9m shy of the Xbox.

There's absolutely no way the X360 will magically drop off of sales to some sort of catastrophic failure. The Xbox 360 has a great lineup of games still slated. If the X360 was going to die, it would of done it well by now. The Wii is out, and has been for a year, and so has the PS3.

Despite the entirety of next-gen being here, with the Wii selling like hotcakes, and having great software, and the PS3 getting significant pricecuts and a few decent games, the Xbox 360 is selling better this year than any year of a Microsoft-branded console, ever.

So why would a system selling much better than it's predicessor somehow fall off, and do worse? Not only this, the Xbox 360 won't be phased out as quickly, nor in the same way as the Xbox. Microsoft has already pleged that the new Xbox will release in 2011-2012 - Giving the Xbox 360 6-7 years of sales. Add in the fact that they *might* not hack production of the console, and go PS2 on everyone (ie, keep selling the prev-gen system alongside the new-gen system), and it could sell even more.

The *least* the Xbox 360 is going to sell is 35m units - well above the Xbox. I still see it doing above 50m units, if it goes that long.

A comparison:

Notice the Xbox 360 has outshipped the Xbox each quarter it's been on market? Not only is this definitive proof the X360 is selling/shipping better, thus far, since the first week in October, the X360 already has sold 2.0m units. Microsoft will ship no less than 4.5m units this next period (where the Xbox shipped 3.29m units).

Now, can you tell me where in the world can the 360 fail vs. the Xbox? The X360 has already outsold the Xbox LTD in Japan. By the EOY 2008, the X360 will be pretty close, if not already, to the total units shipped vs. the Xbox, a year ahead of schedule.

so ur pedicting that the ps3 will be at 16 million by around july 08 time, are u kidding me!!!!!!!!! if the ps3 reaches 8 mill by 08 then that mean it will have to sell nearly a million a month and that ant gonna happen

I predict it won't, Leo-J.

Maybe by EOY 2008, it'll be @ 16m. But no sooner.

Not quite. It wasn't the size of the boost but the duration. The 360 had better legs after Halo 3 than some expected.

As for next year, can the 360 top the Xbox? 

no but i think it will pass it in 09

9 million sales is impossible in 08, 5-6 million at max. I also bet my house/7 cats and my GeForce 8800 GTX Ultra that the next xbox will go on sale in 2010.

6m max in 08?

Care to bet an avatar link or something like that? The Xbox 360 will sell atleast 8m next year (which is about what it sold this year)....Maybe more.

possibly but who says that MS will then drop the 360? As long as it keeps selling the amount total will increase, just like how the ps2 is still selling really well