theprof00 said:
I'm confused. Take now for a setting. Businesses aren't hiring because they aren't making enough revenue to cover the overhead. Welfare seems like it gives money to the consumers, and the consumers put money into the products that are popular, which in turn increases revenues and profits leading hiring more workers to open more stores and continue increasing revenue as is the capitalist formula.
Ah, but the problem is: Where do these people get the money for Welfare? It does not come from thin air. It is taken from somewhere - from treasury notes, from taxes, from elsewhere. The money is not free. Its taken from other areas that would of been invested in the businesses in other ways.
Now, you may say 'but Welfare at least gives them a product' - this may be true, but I would argue that welfare can artificially inflate questionable businesses and markets. This was seen in the huge housing collapse we had in 2007. Many of the bad mortgages were backed by government 'welfare' programs that tried to give out loans to people unable to recieve traditional loans. The result was bankruptcy at an all-time rate...Somewhere in the area of 20-30% of all 'welfare loans' went bad which made the market worse for everyone.
If the govment got rid of welfare or even worse, things like unemployment, They would be effectively taking 1.2 trillion dollars away from businesses. According to 2002 census, there are 23.3 million businesses in the US http://www.census.gov/epcd/www/smallbus.html
Again, money comes from somewhere. It is not created out of thin air. If the $1.2 trillion was not given to these people via unemployment or welfare, it would show up somewhere else in America. Most likely in more productive areas, honestly.
But I've also heard that it's closer to 31 million now. So, we are looking at a loss per business of 38,000k on average. Many big box stores, retailers, and others, can afford to pay at least one person to work for each 38,000 in revenue. (Assuming 14,000$ worth of associated costs), which would equal 31 million jobs.
...So? Americans spend more on luxury items and stupid garbage than any other country. Maybe our consumption culture isn't a good thing? Maybe becoming ridden with debt has had an overall negative impact on our society? Maybe the money shouldn't be there for retailers that have bad business models, expensive products, and selling them to people that don't need it.
(as a fun fact, the tax collected on those purchases is 60B$ at a 5% sales tax that goes right into the state economies)
What I'm curious about, is what do you think the government should do instead? It seems pretty obvious that the government is "subsidizing" business through welfare.
Government should ensure that it is not the problem in and of itself. It can do that by reducing bad regulations, and reforming good ones to be even better. It can reduce the footprint of running.
Let me give you a very simple example of this:
Businesses have to pay taxes to the government each time a person gets a pay check, as well as the employee itself. When I make $10/hr, I have to pay $2/hr out in payroll taxes. Likewise, the business is forced to pay into government programs which add up to another $2/hr in taxes.
Lets say the government reduces taxes, and reforms regulations to make it simply cheaper on these employees and businesses. Lets say it reduces payroll taxes by 50% on me and 50% on the business.
Suddenly, the business can hire 10% more employees since the cost of hiring dropped 10%. I have 10% more money in my pocket ($1/hr more), and I can spend it. Think of it as 'welfare for everyone'. Taxes and burdensom regulations can be the silent killer when it comes to growing businesses, and having more money to spend.
I agree that more people should be working and producing more product, but conversely, if there is too much product, doesn't that also lower profit margin?
It depends on why they have too much product. It also depends on the productivity of the business. For example, if a company can produce 10 widgets at $1 each, and for some reason (through better employees, technology, management, ect), it can then produce 10 widgets at $0.90 each, then it may devalue the product. Of course, it may lower the price and result in more demand for the product, allowing the company to keep its margin. Every business has a different margin. For example, some car dealerships survive on Corvettes and Ferraris. Others survive on Accents and Fiestas. Some use quanity as a way to ensure a smaller, but steadier, profit margin.
Also, what do you mean it would be put back into the economy anyway? It's taken out of taxes, right? What should they do? Lower taxes? And if so, who should they lower taxes for?
First off, they need to ensure that if taxes are lowered, there isn't a higher deficit, which will cost interest in the end. There is a lot of bloat in the US federal system, so cuts should be the priority, not just the taxes.
As for lowering taxes...It'd be best to, really, reform the system to end loopholes and subsidies first, which would ensure good across-the-board competitiveness. I mean this in the fact that, depending on your accountant and how 'special' you are, you may get significant discounts. It can encourage mischevous behavior, or bad behavior. Fix that, and you may level the playing field more, and make it better on everyone.
For full tax cuts, I would like to see a significant reduction in said payroll taxes. Again, I may 'make' $30,000 a year, but after taxes, its closer to $22,000. If they lower taxes on the business I work for, as well as my payroll taxes, I could save the money and spend it on products to encourage new businesses. IMO, I would use a flat tax of 10-15% on everyone making under $1m/yr, and an additional 5-10% income tax on those making over $1m/yr. That way, those that are honest will pay 60% less than they do now at the top tier, and those doing very questionable things will still be paying into the system. Of course, in my fantasy world, I'm paying into health and retirement myself, and merely paying federal and state taxes for very little.
|