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Forums - Sony Discussion - How long will Blu ray last

Feylic on 06 February 2010
Squilliam said:
Feylic said:
Squilliam said:
rafichamp said:
Longer then DVD, reason why? Peoples internet speeds are still too low for downloading content from the web. Digital Distribution still needs about 6 more years to come over physical distribution.

Blu Rays maximum delivery is something like 35Mbps. If you had a 50Mbps internet connection you could easily manage as good if not better than Blu Ray quality sound + video over the internet even accounting for less than advertised speeds. Most Cable/DSL companies are pushing for 100Mbps to the home. Realistically you could probably get away with 30Mbps internet as most consumers couldn't tell the difference between similar bit rate but well encoded content, or if they do they don't particularly care for the difference.

Wow, where are these speeds available? I currently have 1Mbps and that was JUST upgraded! The fastest in my area is for regular residential use is 7. Average North American download speed is only at 7Mbps, so yeah, it's gonna be a little while before digital distribution goes mainstream.

In a few countries around the world, but that figure is increasing every year with greater investment in infrastructure. Cisco for example is increasing the speed of their switches considerably every year for instance.

In a few countries around the world, for a few people. They are increasing every year, that's for sure, but they won't be fast enough for some time still, like the first guy said, 6 years +



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Blood_Tears on 06 February 2010

I'm kinds lost on this topic, but from my understanding the op thinks that Sony may not stand behind blu ray for long? Even if the PS4 doesn't have a blue ray drive, isn't there other members of the BDA?
Other companies involved in BDA have stand alone players, like Panasonic, Toshiba, LG, etc. Blu-Ray will be around for a long time.



johnsobas on 06 February 2010

a long time i suppose, i don't see another disc format coming perhaps ever. Any disc format from now on will never hit mainstream. Downloads will be the future, discs won't dissapear but will be shrinking for a long time.



currently playing: Skyward Sword, Mario Sunshine, Xenoblade Chronicles X

Squilliam on 06 February 2010
Feylic said:
Squilliam said:

In a few countries around the world, but that figure is increasing every year with greater investment in infrastructure. Cisco for example is increasing the speed of their switches considerably every year for instance.

In a few countries around the world, for a few people. They are increasing every year, that's for sure, but they won't be fast enough for some time still, like the first guy said, 6 years +

The important piece of information is not the average internet speed but the average upper quartile speeds, as these people are your main market for direct download, just as people with 50+" TVs are a large market for Blu Ray.



Tease.

Feylic on 07 February 2010
Squilliam said:
Feylic said:
Squilliam said:

In a few countries around the world, but that figure is increasing every year with greater investment in infrastructure. Cisco for example is increasing the speed of their switches considerably every year for instance.

In a few countries around the world, for a few people. They are increasing every year, that's for sure, but they won't be fast enough for some time still, like the first guy said, 6 years +

The important piece of information is not the average internet speed but the average upper quartile speeds, as these people are your main market for direct download, just as people with 50+" TVs are a large market for Blu Ray.

Well now I don't know what you mean... Yes the people with the highest download speeds will be the ones in the market for digital distribution, but that small percentage isn't going to make bluray obselete for many years.



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Sephiroth357 on 07 February 2010

Longer than 10 years.




Squilliam on 07 February 2010
Feylic said:
Squilliam said:

The important piece of information is not the average internet speed but the average upper quartile speeds, as these people are your main market for direct download, just as people with 50+" TVs are a large market for Blu Ray.

Well now I don't know what you mean... Yes the people with the highest download speeds will be the ones in the market for digital distribution, but that small percentage isn't going to make bluray obselete for many years.

Just as the small % of people who have a large enough HDTV will slow down Blu Ray adoption. I wasn't talking about obsoletion, I was saying they'd have to share the spot light with other technologies. Look back at my earlier comments and you'll see.



Tease.

Kenoid on 07 February 2010

Until they find a way to make it less costly



                                  

                                       That's Gordon Freeman in "Real-Life"
 

 

WyldRage on 07 February 2010

When TVs will go beyond 1080p. It's simple, until there is a significant portion of TVs capable of Ultra High Definition, there is simply no reason to upgrade.

Personally, I'm still waiting for a mainstream upgrade to music CDs. Music quality has been going down ever since they abandoned the LP.



youarebadatgames on 07 February 2010
WyldRage said:
When TVs will go beyond 1080p. It's simple, until there is a significant portion of TVs capable of Ultra High Definition, there is simply no reason to upgrade.

Personally, I'm still waiting for a mainstream upgrade to music CDs. Music quality has been going down ever since they abandoned the LP.

That has nothing to do with CDs and everything to do with how badly they master CDs nowadays (high compression and clipping because louder is "better" than actual dynamics).