I think GOW/FF16/Forsaken all arriving in the same quarter is actually bad. Better to spread them out.
Would love for GOW to be an early September release even if its looking unlikely at this point, it would allow Hogwarts and Avatar to have some breathing room. I think the most likely outcome:
Yeah, GoW will most likely be sooner rather than later.
I also don't see Ff16 and TloU hurting one another. Forspoken? Probably so, but unless that gets a stellar turn around, I think it's not going to do well regardless