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theRepublic said:
spurgeonryan said:
theRepublic said:

Actually, when I looked at the stats for my last post, I didn't think it would turn out nearly as bad as it did.  I knew he had a down year, but I didn't know it was that bad.  I did not expect to see so many career worsts.

Anyway...

http://www.fangraphs.com/graphs.aspx?playerid=1177&position=1B&page=7&type=full

BABIP is actually favorable for Pujols.  Above average in 2008, average in 2009 and 2010, and then below average in 2011.  It helps explain part of the drop.  He should have a better year as long as...

http://www.fangraphs.com/graphs.aspx?playerid=1177&position=1B&page=9&type=full

...he stops hitting so many ground balls.  If you look at the detail graphs in 2011, you can see his BABIP improves as his ground ball rate drops.


Still he is an infielder who does not have to much strain on his body from what I have seen. If he can stay healthy, I see no reason why he cannot do well. There certainly will be some drop off as he ages. Now he is on a American League team. Designated hitter is always a possibility.

 

I think Ground balls are a good start. You never want to have balls too much in the air. Getting out of the high fly ball routine is a pain for players.

Was just looking at Ichiro's season last year. Hope he can pick it up. Although upper 100's in hits is still a great season! I was reminded of him by you guys talking about ground balls, and how he loves to hit a ground ball.

The DH will be good for him, no doubt about that.

Ground balls are bad, especially for Pujols (because he is slow).

"A line drive produces 1.26 runs per out, while fly balls produce 0.13 runs per out and groundballs produce 0.05 runs per out. In other words, batters want to hit lots of line drives and fly balls, while pitchers generally want to cause batters to hit groundballs."

http://www.fangraphs.com/library/index.php/offense/batted-ball/

You know what? I agree. I was thinking of line drives and ground balls as one. Ground balls are horrible unless you are really fast. Maybe Kenny lofton in his prime, Ichiro, Rickey henderson, Crawford, etc.

 

Also I would like everyone to know that I cannot wait for top ten plays on Sports Center and Baseball tonight once Baseball is in full swing! Nothing like watching some player just go for it and lunge for a ball, and make a spectacular play.

 

In case anyone was wondering or did not check it out, Phillies won today.



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