VG Chartz has the xbox360 at 35.8 million while the ps3 is at 30.1 million. This returns an xbox360 lead of 5.7million units worldwide.
but what we fail to realize is that 30% of xbox360's sold before the falcon model was realsed are already dead.
Falcon released around Aug 2007. So, taking total sales of xbox360 from launch till before falcon's lunch we have 10.6million
VGChartz Hardware data for the period 20th Nov 2005 to 04th Aug 2007:
Console | X360 |
Total
|
10,605,876
|
of this 10.6 million units, 30% has fallen to rrod, which is roughly 3.18million units.
so that brings it to 7.42 million.
from here, units sold have a failure rate of 5% (if we are to believe that the falcon did address the rrod issue, which we know didn't, but lets assume it did). Sales from falcon's launch to pressent is at 25.2 million. lets say 5% did fail so thats 1.26million failed units which brings the active unis to 23.9 million
VGChartz Hardware data for the period 05th Aug 2007 to 19th Dec 2009:
Console | X360 |
Total
|
25,189,629
|
so adding 7.42 million and 23.9 million, total actuall xbox360s world wide that are alive is 31.3 million
to be fair, lets also assume that 5% of all ps3 hardware has failed (which we know is lower than 5% but for equality's sake lets take it at 5%), which is 1.5 million dead ps3s. which brings down total live ps3s to 28.6 million
VGChartz Hardware data for the period 18th Jul 1993 to 19th Dec 2009:
Console | PS3 |
Total
|
30,097,783
|
so now we have
xbox360 - 31.3 million
ps3 - 28.6 million
difference - 2.73 million
So with this, i predict that ps3 will pass xbox360 when GT5 launches in Europe