IF Microsoft can get a good Strategy RPG to come to their system, they could be set. They will have a few good JPRGs and alot of Western RPGs (fable, elder scrolls ect)
they will have a good rts (halo wars) a good (hopefully) platformer- Banjo Kazooie... they already have racing sports and shooters... and they have a tomb raider adventure. And they have Ninja Gaiden. So...
Sony will only be finished if
-PS3 fails this Xmas
-PS3 doesn't drastically recover next spring when the AAA games come
- all of Xbox 360's AAA projects pan out (ninja Gaiden 2, halo wars, fable 2, BK2)
if these 3 things happen, PS3 will be finished. If 2 happen, PS3 will hang in there. If one happens, it will be close. If all 3 fail to happen, PS3 could still come in 2nd.