This first Q of the fiscal year 2019 ends with the Mario Maker 2 significant boost. So we can compare how the Switch is performing.
These data are the cumulated VGC sold estimation, observed on the fiscal first trimester for the 3 years of the Switch.
My projection is simply calculated by the multiplication : 16,95 x 1,198...Knowing that we are only at the begining of the offensive this year for the Switch, and even without considering the Lite boost in September, it looks difficult to imagine that they can be under 20M. I think they knew it, they want to obtain stock price boost in increasing their goal at every fiscal trimester sales reports.
Current PB on Secret of Mana remake : 2h27 (2nd)
Strongest worldwide achievement on TGM : 1st European S13 rank
WR on TGM alternative mode : Fastest ITEM S9 rank ( <-- Just got massacred by the 2nd most powerfull player in the world )
Current PB on Power Ranger (Game Gear) : 10min06 (World Record)
Non-geek activity : ThermalHungary