Yes I think it will sell under 180K more than 1 week. Part of the reason is that they sold so many this year, I think a lot of people bought it in anticipation of what is to come and eventually that will catch up to Sony and you won't see as big numbers during the bigger games as people would expect because of that.

Not to knock the PS4, but this year wasn't Sony's best year of support for one of their consoles. I feel like the console will be somewhat front loaded and while it will still remain in first place, it's going to lose some lead next year to MS.

And just briefly looking at this year, just randomly, I see quite a few weeks where it was near or below that figure so yeah it will dip below the 180K mark AT LEAST once.

I don't doubt the PS4 will be a success, but come on, to expect it to pass 180K would take a price drop and a healthy release schedule, I haven't looked at next's years release dates so far, but we all know there are slow points in the year where sales can dip.

The PS4 will not sell under 200k in any week during 2015!

Thanks :) 

I agree with everything. The launch period is very important indeed, mid-January to mid-February is like Christmas in China.

Either do I, but I think it is 'okay' to assume, that Sony will announce a price drop at E3, maybe even before that.

Also, let us not forget, there are still A LOT of game slated for 2015 without an actual release date:

- Metal Gear Solid V: The Phantom Pain
- Until Dawn
- Tearaway Unfolded
- Mad Max
- Just Cause 3
- Ratchet & Clank
- Rime
- Homefront: The Revolution
- No Man's Sky (is it confirmed for 2015?)

Just to name a few.

I totally agree, 2015 is shaping up to be a monstrous year for PS4 ! 

Thanks :)

starcraft said: Agreed. If the PS4 doesn't go under 180k all year, you get to control my sig for a week. If it does go under 180k, I get to permaban you. Seems fair?

And why would you want to permaban me? :) 

Surely you can come up with something else.

It would actually be a good idea .. I'll have to think about this one.

This would be amazing! :)

Starcraft how about if you lose you get permabanned. That seems fair.

It would be in the best interest of MGS to release in the summer. It will have very little competition and it's huge fan base will buy the game regardless. Then it can go for the festive casuals at Xmas. The boost PS4 gets from MGS5 will be massive. SO I really hope it comes in the summer.

MGS V, Tearaway Unfolded, and Ratchet & Clank all look like they could be released Before the end of Q2 ... 

Mad Max and Just Cause 3 are looking up to be Q3/Q4 games. I have no idea about No Man's Sky. Rime doesn't even have a solid release date yet ... 

Until Dawn and Homefront: The revolution look like the only games to be able to make it for a summer release ...

i bet that it will sell below that in a given week. if you lose, you have to put my hot pop advertisement in your signature for a year. if youre so confident, that shouldnt be a problem.

LordLichtenstein, you make good threads. Well argued.

The lowest point for PS4 last year was 130k. Add a 30% increase and it gives you about 170k. Add in the fact that it was supply constrained and that VGC still has it under tracked before August, and I can see it not going below 180k all year.

I'm not 100% sure that it will happen though, it's 50-50. It could go below that a few weeks.

"marketing deal"

we prefer the term "pretend exclusive" round these parts

180k is pretty high. I think a next gen system needs to do 100k+ every week to be considered doing good. Some weeks VGC had PS4 below that, but it was probably untrue at the time.