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Forums - Sales Discussion - When will the PS4 catch/surpass WiiU in Japan?

Tagged games:

it probably won't.



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Joaco <3 N64 said:
Alby_da_Wolf said:
At home console sales numbers in Japan, if it takes off it can happen in 2016, I guess.
If it keeps on outselling it by ~4k/week, instead, it should happen in ~300 weeks, that is in 2020.


Wii U would be dead in Japan and pretty much elsewhere by 2020, so late 2018.

 

Now seriously, 2016.

Yea, the hypothesis that they could stay at the same average weekly gap was VERY unrealistic. For the sales dynamics in time, even more so in Japan, Wii U should fade earlier, giving PS4 an additional opportunity even if it won't take off in an outstanding way like it did elsewhere.



Stwike him, Centuwion. Stwike him vewy wuffly! (Pontius Pilate, "Life of Brian")
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TGS, Third Grade Shooter: brand new genre invented by Kevin Butler exclusively for Natal WiiToo Kinect. PEW! PEW-PEW-PEW! 
 


Like a lot already said, when FFXV, KH3, and Persona 5 come out. Especially if they do some sort of bundle.



I'm now filled with determination.

PS4 is going to need to push as many consoles as possible in the next twelve months, because the second round of the sales tax increase looms in October of next year. If it can't outsell the wii u by then I don't know if it will be able to simply because the rate in which people buy anything could diminish to the point where even a lead of a couple hundred thousand could prove insurmountable.



It's a 1.2m gap...And ps4 currently outsells wii u by a little!Also japanese games will give it a permament boost?Are you sure that wii u won't outsell ps4 again?I suggest to see the worrying vita sales which is a portable and has many japanese titles,be cautious ;)...!
Lastly,wii u will have games too!E.g Pokken tournament...                           

I won't predict when,it s really hard to tell.
It might never pass it or will pass it very late,when the predecessor of wii u comes!



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Troll_Whisperer said:
I really don't think it's gonna catch up to the Wii U by the end of 2015, regardless of FFXV.

PS4 needs to outsell the Wii U by 1.2m to catch up. PS3 sold 1.8 million the year FFXIII came out. That was its best year in Japan, and it was a console that was selling quite better than PS4 anyway, FF or not.

Realistically, I don't think we can expect more than 1.5m for PS4 next year. That would mean Wii U would have to sell less than 300k for it to catch up, and that's too poor even for Wii U.

I do think PS4 is gonna end up outselling Wii U though. Third party support and much longer legs ensure that. Next year is going to start very strong too.

I'm gonna say H2 2016. I can't be much more precise than that.

I like your analysis so I will also go with second half of 2016.



Jizz_Beard_thePirate said:

When FFXV/KH3 and MGS V come out


dont lie, you know the very day that the ps4 will pass the wiiu.

Its the day morpheus comes out with the "summer teacher" game/simulator bundled.



Tachikoma said:
Jizz_Beard_thePirate said:

When FFXV/KH3 and MGS V come out


dont lie, you know the very day that the ps4 will pass the wiiu.

Its the day morpheus comes out with the "summer teacher" game/simulator bundled.

Loll, I totally forgot about that hawt game! Sighh, I would buy a ps4 right now if that was out in the west T_T



                  

PC Specs: CPU: 7800X3D || GPU: Strix 4090 || RAM: 32GB DDR5 6000 || Main SSD: WD 2TB SN850

Jizz_Beard_thePirate said:
Tachikoma said:
Jizz_Beard_thePirate said:

When FFXV/KH3 and MGS V come out


dont lie, you know the very day that the ps4 will pass the wiiu.

Its the day morpheus comes out with the "summer teacher" game/simulator bundled.

Loll, I totally forgot about that hawt game! Sighh, I would buy a ps4 right now if that was out in the west T_T

It will sell every single unsold new/used ps4 in japan, and a bunch around the world as people import it to fulfill their lusty desires.

Never underestimate the power of pornstation.



Tachikoma said:
Jizz_Beard_thePirate said:

Loll, I totally forgot about that hawt game! Sighh, I would buy a ps4 right now if that was out in the west T_T

It will sell every single unsold new/used ps4 in japan, and a bunch around the world as people import it to fulfill their lusty desires.

Never underestimate the power of pornstation.

Lolll, Indeed! The mighty PS4 has many cards up its sleeve and this one will be its greatest one yet! Not only will it make the ps4 the #1 console in Japan, but it will make Morpheus vastly more successful than Oculus Rift will ever be!

(Btw, nice avatar, love the green shading)



                  

PC Specs: CPU: 7800X3D || GPU: Strix 4090 || RAM: 32GB DDR5 6000 || Main SSD: WD 2TB SN850