SamuelRSmith said: There's no easy way out of this situation. It's not consumption that drives economic growth, but production, for which you need investment. You cannot have investment without savings, and when you have "near zero" interest rates, and price increases running into double digit percentages each year, you're plain and simple not going to get people saving. So the two fundamental things that need to be fixed are the price increases, and the interest rates. They go hand-in-hand, as the primary force behind the price increases is inflation of the money supply, which is done to force interest rates down. This policy is based on the flawed belief that consumption drives growth, and not production. Unfortunately, most Gov'ts are in a catch-22, the only way they can sustain the illusion that they're remotely solvent is by manipulating the currency supply, letting interest rates go up will force Governmental defaults around the world so fast your head will spin. So, the one thing that needs to happen cannot happen. Governments cannot default because of a) the large swathes of the population that are dependant on those debts, and b) The debts are held by the people who bankrolled the politicians. The recession/collapse began in 2008, with signs of struggle in the years before then. It is now 2013. That's 5 years. Five. Fucking. Years of the same policies failing. Let's try the things that were suggested by the only people who predicted the collapse in the first place. |
The policies haven't been working because even as central banks attempt to pump up the economy, the actual governments have been strangling it by misguided "austerity" plans, especially in America, where the fixation on debt is completely counter-productive.
If there's no-one to buy, all the production in the world isn't going to matter. There have to be buyers *first* before people will bother to make anything, otherwise the upper class just invest in assets and create asset bubbles, as is going on currently as the real estate and stock markets "rebound" while everything else languishes, because the money is just getting passed around in asset markets and not going out into the consumption economy.
Governments can only default when they don't control their own currency, or don't have their debt denominated in their own currency. The big players, therefore, are completely immune to default while we remain in a liquidity trap.
Deflation sure as hell isn't going to help exports, either. You only want prices to cool during a bull market to prevent overheating.
Monster Hunter: pissing me off since 2010.