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I think the long term success of the Wii will determing what the price points will be for all three next gen consoles. If the Wii leads or is in a strong second place, I think all three next consoles will have a lower launch price. Not necessarily at $250 price but maybe the $300 price that was the upper limit in the previous generation. I could even see $400 still being the upper limit depending on the success of the 360 and the overall cost of electronics in 5 or 6 years.
Nonsense the wii is not a next gen console. It's just the novelty and gimmicky stuff that's driving it at the moment. The ps3 will be around for atleast 7 or 8 years before ps4 that's the potential of it. Xbox seem to be going the incremental route in terms of smallish upgrades each console meaning shorter lifespan.