Ka-pi96 said:
Nah, it's not 50/50. One outcome is definitely more likely than the other. And it's certainly not just luck, there's a huge number of variables in play and the more of those that you take into account (and actually know) the more likely you are to be correct. If you just pick randomly and ignore everything then yeah, it's just pure luck. But if you actually think about things then you should be correct more often than you're wrong. |
Eh, maybe. I don’t think either is some extreme.