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colafitte on 23 April 2019
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peachbuggy said:
colafitte said:

Where did i said Nintendo overshipped in Q3?? Nintendo shipped exactly what they had to, that's why back in January i was so convinced Switch had sold to consumers around 29'5M before VGC made adjustments, because i expected 2'5-3'0M "on shelves". Switch shipped 32'3M total after Q3 and VGC showed 29'5M units sold to consumers by the end of the year. And that was confirmed the moment Nintendo themselves said Switch just surpassed 30M units sold to consumers by the end of January. So yeah, in the end there was 2'8M left to sell after Q3 according to VGC. That's a lot and that's why i don't expect Q4 shipments to be bigger than 2'5M like Nintendo is not expecting it either. Thanks to stock left plus shipments this quarter, that's why Switch is selling around 3'5M to consumers this past quarter.

Nintendo is going to announce in a few days that Switch has shipped around 35M (because that's what Nintendo said they expect to ship after saying they expect to ship 17'0M this FY), that could be 34'8M, 35'0M, 35'2M in the end, ... something around that, and that shows that the numbers VGC is showing are probably correct.

I really don't see what's it's triggering so many reactions to my comments. What i am saying is not that difficult to accept....

Your original post quite clearly mentioned it, as does this one i'm quoting. Nintendos' statement in January was misleading due to Nintendos' well known conservatism. I would not take that as gospel, nor would i take VGChartz's numbers as gospel either. They have just been adjusted upwards and they are just as likely to be again after Nintendos' end of FY report. Also 2.5-3m is a lot to be in transit/sitting on shelves. You seem to be on a 1-man mission to discredit Switch numbers, just as Quickrick (Rip) was before you. Well, i hope you don't take being wrong as personally as he did to his detriment and eventual downfall :( 

On a mission?, oh come on.....My original post had a take in each console and the least pessimistic was the Switch one, but is me talking about Switch in this site and everytime i am accused of something...despite being right in the end (like i was for Shipments in Q3 and consumer sales at the end of the year, in fact i was spot on). And no, in no moment i ever said or insinuated Q3 was overshipped. Every succesful console in the holiday season leaves around 2-3M units on stock left during Q3. That's not overship but is indeed a lot of units left and those units left are sold during the next year.

If you consider a Nintendo official statement "misleading" and "known conservative" for what they're going to sell in the next quarter talk for yourself because that's just your opinion, mine is different.

You said 2'5-3M on transit is a lot, if you refer to end of December, you're wrong, if you are talking about March, you are correct, and if that's the case i agree with you, that's why i don't expect more than 17'0M shipped and why i give the possibility that if indeed shipped more then VGC is undertracking Switch. I really don't know how i can be more specific and honest about Switch situation sales without being treated as a hater by some people here..., always the same story....

Prove me wrong or in denial about Switch JUST ONCE and then you can say that i'm on a mission, if not, i will appreciate stoping coments like this because yes, they're personal. Thanks.