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XB is probably overtracked in the same territories as always has VGC overtracked historically, mostly Europe and Others. This overtracking remind me of the good ol' days of last gen when it was normal a console being under or overtracked big time by the end of the year. By comparison VGC has been way more accurate this gen. Because of how Microsoft treated XBO sales, i must say VGC had a difficult task to track correctly the console...

This numbers makes really difficult now to reach 50M before next gen console arrives. Next gen could go back to XB in USA, and maybe UK, but this definitively shows that XB is never going to be popular everywhere else....