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Supermario28 said:
Amnesia said:

I have added the 2017 Q4 to see the whole curve : it needs to be ~33% higher than the final spot of the blue curve (15,06M --> 20M) by March 30th 2019.

It is already 26% higher by today (8,12M from 6,42M). It is done. I will put half of my money on Nintendo Share, if they confirm 20M the share will explode.

Basically if Nintendo can close this 7% gap (33%-26%) in the next 5 weeks, it's a done deal for 20mil. I can't see how Switch could sell less in Q4 2018 than Q4 2017.

Smash is like a second black friday for Nintendo. Next 2 weeks are crucial to understand if they'll make it. With Cyber Monday and Smash release numbers.

Like EVERYTHING else, when everybody notice and admit something, it means that it is too late to make money...I would invest now for Nintendo Share, once the numbers of Smash will fall, the share will have jumped already and the opportunity to make a high profit will be done already. By just UK and Japan numbers we already know that Smash WW result will be insane.