(Update: 100 million mark reached!)Prediction:Switch will go on to sell 100+ million units

[BillyBong]

Wyrdness said:

BillyBong said:

Eh.. I don't think they'll get to 100m+. I'm only saying it because of the still shoddy 3rd party support overall for Ninty. Ninty 1st party can only offer so much at a time. The times in between releases will be tough without big 3rd party hitters.
Look at MS.. they can stay afloat even without much 1st party games because of the big 3rd party games that comes to their system too. PS has a good mix of 1st and 3rd. I sense there will be dry spells in between ninty's big releases.. that could affect momentum.

 

They are definitely starting out strong but that was expected with releases like Zelda BOTW, Mario Odyssey, and Splatoon 2.  But it's almost like the big cards were dropped in it's first year.  What will it have to offer in the next year or 2 to keep momentum?.  

Neither Wii nor DS needed heavy third party support to get to 100m, 3DS has had decent level of support and manage to hit 70m (will finish at 75-80m at the end of things) even after the early troubles.

People thinking third parties will dictate hitting that mile stone are mistaken Nintendo really only ever need enough filler titles between first party title to be fine as its their first party that sell the platform not third party. Far all big cards are used, Pokemon, Fire Emblem, Animal Crossing, Tomodachi, Metroid etc... You even mentioned Splatoon 2 which is a new IP only established 3 years ago what's to say more like it aren't on the way.

As good as some of those other games are, they're not exactly system sellers. 

This isn't a bash on ninty's games or game quality, but whether or not they'll hit the 100m mark when it's all said and done.  I just don't see it without 3rd  party support for the inbetween big ninty releases.  Guesss time will tell if it ends up doing Wii or WiiU numbers.  Wii had a great motion control gimmick that made it a seller for families with small kids.  That helped paved the way for a decent 3rd party support line even if there  was a lot of shovelware. . Will have to see if the portability schtick will play as important a factor for the switch.

Last edited by BillyBong - on 21 January 2018