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Wyrdness said:
They've had an ND in September at some point each year for a while now if that continues it wouldn't be much of a surprise, I can see the following being possible:

- Mario Odyssey Update, as the game is out next month.
- Xenoblade 2 trailer with release date
- BOTW DLC2 trailer and info
- Fire Emblem Warriors Update
- Skyrim Update
- Ultra Sun/Moon Update

September NDs have also been the NDs that have yielded the most surprise announcements as well with Pokemon X/Y, Bayonetta 2, Monster Hunter 4 and such being announced during them so a surprise announcement is not far fetched either.

While there was a Direct for XY in September of 2013, XY was first announced during a direct on January 8, 2013...

Aside from that, I would say your post is pretty spot on...

In terms of possible surprises, I'll go with either another Wii U port (this might be a good opportunity to bring Wonderful 101 to a bigger, more interested audience), a third party port like Fallout 4, or maybe Pikmin 4...



Have a nice day...