| RolStoppable said: You should start looking at Media Create numbers because they are more up to date than VGC, nevermind that VGC's numbers for Japan are basically an average of what Media Create and Famitsu report each week; there's absolutely no point in waiting for VGC when Japanese sales data is so readily available. The most recent week's sales (87k) and the LTD total (1.43m) are in the OP of this thread, so that means 2.3m to go in the next 6.5 months or 28 weeks. That requires an average weekly sales rate of ~82k units, but that is indeed possible with the already increased supply and the inevitable holiday boost that can make up for a baseline of below 82k. Of course you are going to perceive it as an almost impossible target to reach when you make basic errors like "I am looking at 14 weeks of sales data, I have to extrapolate for 52 weeks, and 52 minus 14 equates 30." Seriously, slob, what are you doing? If you were rounding, 38 isn't roughly 30. Also important, my argument is not that Switch will definitely beat the DS's first year, it's disagreement with your assertion that there is almost no chance. Switch has a realistic shot to pull it off. |
I thought we we're only counting just this year which ends at the holidays but now we're going to count this 'year' as in next fiscal year which ends in March or are we only counting full one year which is at the end of Feburary ?
That's how I got my 30 week number left relative from this site's data so far but going further into next year changes everything ...
If we're going to be counting until either the end of Feburary or March (that becomes 13 months) hitting 3.8M units in Japan does sound more doable ...
