I don't really feel like any of your worries are merited.
XB2 and FE Warriors will both likely sell almost 1m lifetime, which is fine for what they are.
Splatoon 2 will almost definitely outsell the original. It doesn't need to be much different - it's on a better performing platform.
Just because 2D Mario sells better doesn't mean 3D Mario doesn't sell. 3D Mario typically outsells Zelda, for the record, so Odyssey will sell more Switches than any other game this year, outside of maybe MK8D.
There's also still Mario x Rabbids, which practically stole the show at E3.
Now if you want to worry about 2018, then worry about that as all we know about are Fire Emblem, SMT, Kirby, Yoshi, and potentially Metroid and Pokemon, though I see no reason to believe in the latter two. But 2017 is unquestionably the best 1st year first party line up I've ever seen, so it's sales will reflect that.
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