Year 1 - Week 52 - Global Switch Sales vs WiiU/XboxOne/3DS/PS4

[dharh]

Rol is actually not too far from what I would have as my launch window for PS5.

It's been a while since I've done a launch prediction. This is what I said back on March 25, 2011 with some updated info.

If I'm conservative with the trends this is what I see:

NES: july 15, 1983
SNES: Novermber 21, 1990 - 88 months
N64: June 23, 1996 - 67 months
GC: September 14, 2001 - 57 months
Wii: November 19, 2006 - 62 months
Wii U: Prediction - 65 months or May 2012 - Reality 72 months / November, 2012
Switch: Prediction would have been - 60 months or November, 2017 - Reality was 52 months / March, 2017

PS1: december 3, 1994
PS2: march 4, 2000 - 63 months
PS3: november 11/17, 2006 (jp/na) - 80 months
PS4: Prediction - 84 months or November, 2013 (na) - Reality 84 months or November 2013

It's actually kinda funny because in April 2011 there seemed to be some confirmation that Wii2 (what I called Wii U before it's official name was going to be revealed) would be released April 2012.  Alas it obviously turned out to November 2012.

Anyway, again based on past trends:

PS5: Prediction - Either 72 months or November 2019.  Or more likely 84 months or November 2020.  I feel pretty confident that is the window we will see PS5 launch, give or take if SONY desides to release on an odd month like March or December.

Edit: My brain must have been off.  November 2019 not 2017 and 2020 not 2018...